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Randy Brown vs. Nicolas Dalby: UFC on ESPN, Apr 26, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S.
Randy Brown13-6-0
SatApr 26KO/TKO · R2Welterweight
Nicolas Dalby7-4-1 (1 NC)
56.7% (Elo 1603)(Elo 1556) 43.3%

Result

Randy Brown wins by KO/TKO (punch)

round 2, 1:39

Pre-fight Elo gave Randy Brown 56.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Randy Brown 1603, Nicolas Dalby 1556: a 47-point gap.
Common opponents
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (Brown: Win; Dalby: Win). Muslim Salikhov (Brown: Win; Dalby: Win). Warlley Alves (Brown: Win; Dalby: Win).
Form
Randy Brown won 3 of the last 5, Nicolas Dalby won 4 of 5. Form favours Nicolas Dalby.
Verdict
Randy Brown slightly favoured · Randy Brown 56.7% by Elo. Form favours Nicolas Dalby.
Randy Brown56.7%ELO43.3%Nicolas Dalby
1603 · Pre-fight Elo · 1556

Common opponents

OpponentRandy BrownNicolas Dalby
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 1, 2024
WinDecision (split), May 30, 2015
Muslim Salikhov
WinKO/TKO (punches), Feb 3, 2024
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 17, 2023
Warlley Alves
WinSubmission (triangle choke), Nov 16, 2019
WinDecision (split), Jan 21, 2023
Alex Oliveira
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Apr 24, 2021
WinDecision (unanimous), Sep 28, 2019

Recent form

Randy Brown · won 3 of last 5Nicolas Dalby · won 4 of last 5
1450150015501600165020162018202020222024Randy Brown 2016-01-30: 1515Randy Brown 2016-04-16: 1499Randy Brown 2016-09-17: 1516Randy Brown 2016-12-09: 1531Randy Brown 2017-02-11: 1513Randy Brown 2017-11-04: 1531Randy Brown 2018-07-14: 1515Randy Brown 2019-06-22: 1531Randy Brown 2019-11-16: 1549Randy Brown 2020-08-01: 1535Randy Brown 2021-04-24: 1552Randy Brown 2021-10-09: 1565Randy Brown 2022-05-07: 1580Randy Brown 2022-10-01: 1599Randy Brown 2023-02-12: 1580Randy Brown 2023-06-24: 1592Randy Brown 2024-02-03: 1607Randy Brown 2024-06-01: 1621Randy Brown 2024-12-07: 1603Randy Brown 2025-04-26: 16171617Nicolas Dalby 2015-05-30: 1516Nicolas Dalby 2015-10-24: 1516Nicolas Dalby 2016-04-10: 1501Nicolas Dalby 2016-09-03: 1484Nicolas Dalby 2019-09-28: 1503Nicolas Dalby 2020-07-26: 1503Nicolas Dalby 2020-11-21: 1521Nicolas Dalby 2021-06-26: 1507Nicolas Dalby 2022-07-23: 1524Nicolas Dalby 2023-01-21: 1541Nicolas Dalby 2023-06-17: 1558Nicolas Dalby 2023-11-04: 1573Nicolas Dalby 2024-06-22: 1556Nicolas Dalby 2025-04-26: 15421542

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Randy Brown
Nicolas Dalby

Tale of the tape

34Age40
190.5 cmHeight180.3 cm
198.1 cmReach188.0 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
13-6-0UFC record7-4-1 (1 NC)
1621Peak Elo1573

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Full card »
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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates?

Sat, Apr 26, 2025 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.