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Chris Cariaso vs. Louis Smolka: UFC Fight Night, May 10, 2014

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva · U.S. Bank Arena, Cincinnati, Ohio, U.S.
Chris Cariaso6-3-0
SatMay 10Decision · R3Flyweight
Louis Smolka1-0-0
53.2% (Elo 1539)(Elo 1517) 46.8%

Result

Chris Cariaso wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Chris Cariaso 53.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Chris Cariaso 1539, Louis Smolka 1517: a 22-point gap.
Form
Chris Cariaso won 3 of the last 5, Louis Smolka won 1 of 1. Form favours Louis Smolka.
Verdict
Close fight · Chris Cariaso 53.2% by Elo. Form favours Louis Smolka.
Chris Cariaso53.2%ELO46.8%Louis Smolka
1539 · Pre-fight Elo · 1517

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Chris Cariaso · won 3 of last 5Louis Smolka · won 1 of last 1
14501500155016002011201220132014Chris Cariaso 2011-01-22: 1515Chris Cariaso 2011-05-28: 1499Chris Cariaso 2011-11-05: 1515Chris Cariaso 2012-02-26: 1531Chris Cariaso 2012-07-11: 1545Chris Cariaso 2012-12-29: 1528Chris Cariaso 2013-05-18: 1510Chris Cariaso 2013-10-09: 1524Chris Cariaso 2014-02-01: 1539Chris Cariaso 2014-05-10: 15541554Louis Smolka 2014-01-15: 1517Louis Smolka 2014-05-10: 15021502

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Chris Cariaso
Louis Smolka

Tale of the tape

32Age22
160.0 cmHeight175.3 cm
160.0 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceno data yet
6-3-0UFC record1-0-0
1554Peak Elo1565

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Fox Sports 2

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva

Full card »
Matt Brown vs. Erick SilvaKO/TKOCostas Philippou vs. Lorenz LarkinKO/TKODaron Cruickshank vs. Erik KochKO/TKONeil Magny vs. Tim MeansDecisionSoa Palelei vs. Ruan PottsKO/TKOEd Herman vs. Rafael NatalDecisionKyoji Horiguchi vs. Darrell MontagueDecisionZak Cummings vs. Yan CabralDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva?

Sat, May 10, 2014 at U.S. Bank Arena, Cincinnati, Ohio, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.