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Ed Herman vs. Rafael Natal: UFC Fight Night, May 10, 2014

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva · U.S. Bank Arena, Cincinnati, Ohio, U.S.
Ed Herman8-6-0 (1 NC)
SatMay 10Decision · R3Middleweight
Rafael Natal5-3-1
50.8% (Elo 1536)(Elo 1531) 49.2%

Result

Ed Herman wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Ed Herman 50.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Ed Herman 1536, Rafael Natal 1531: a 5-point gap.
Form
Ed Herman won 3 of the last 5, Rafael Natal won 3 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Ed Herman 50.8% by Elo.
Ed Herman50.8%ELO49.2%Rafael Natal
1536 · Pre-fight Elo · 1531

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Ed Herman · won 3 of last 5Rafael Natal · won 3 of last 5
145015001550160020072008200920102011201220132014Ed Herman 2006-06-24: 1484Ed Herman 2006-10-10: 1469Ed Herman 2007-01-25: 1485Ed Herman 2007-06-16: 1501Ed Herman 2007-11-17: 1516Ed Herman 2008-04-19: 1500Ed Herman 2008-09-17: 1484Ed Herman 2009-04-18: 1502Ed Herman 2009-08-29: 1486Ed Herman 2011-06-04: 1504Ed Herman 2011-08-14: 1522Ed Herman 2012-02-04: 1538Ed Herman 2012-08-11: 1538Ed Herman 2013-07-27: 1552Ed Herman 2013-11-16: 1536Ed Herman 2014-05-10: 15521552Rafael Natal 2010-09-15: 1485Rafael Natal 2010-12-11: 1485Rafael Natal 2011-08-06: 1502Rafael Natal 2012-02-04: 1518Rafael Natal 2012-07-11: 1502Rafael Natal 2013-01-26: 1518Rafael Natal 2013-05-18: 1533Rafael Natal 2013-09-04: 1548Rafael Natal 2013-11-06: 1531Rafael Natal 2014-05-10: 15151515

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Ed Herman
  • Loss
    Thales LeitesDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Trevor SmithDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • NC
    Jake ShieldsNo contest (overturned) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Clifford StarksSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 1:43
  • Win
    Kyle NokeSubmission (inverted heel hook) · R1 4:15
Rafael Natal

Tale of the tape

no data yetAge31
188.0 cmHeight182.9 cm
195.6 cmReach193.0 cm
no data yetStanceorthodox
8-6-0 (1 NC)UFC record5-3-1
1552Peak Elo1573

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Fox Sports 2

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva

Full card »
Matt Brown vs. Erick SilvaKO/TKOCostas Philippou vs. Lorenz LarkinKO/TKODaron Cruickshank vs. Erik KochKO/TKONeil Magny vs. Tim MeansDecisionSoa Palelei vs. Ruan PottsKO/TKOChris Cariaso vs. Louis SmolkaDecisionKyoji Horiguchi vs. Darrell MontagueDecisionZak Cummings vs. Yan CabralDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva?

Sat, May 10, 2014 at U.S. Bank Arena, Cincinnati, Ohio, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.