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Chris Duncan vs. Mateusz Rębecki: UFC on ESPN, Aug 2, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Chris Duncan4-1-0
SatAug 2Decision · R3Lightweight
Mateusz Rębecki4-1-0
49.7% (Elo 1546)(Elo 1548) 50.3%

Result

Chris Duncan wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Mateusz Rębecki 50.3%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Chris Duncan 1546, Mateusz Rębecki 1548: a 2-point gap.
Form
Chris Duncan won 4 of the last 5, Mateusz Rębecki won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Mateusz Rębecki 50.3% by Elo.
Chris Duncan49.7%ELO50.3%Mateusz Rębecki
1546 · Pre-fight Elo · 1548

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Chris Duncan · won 4 of last 5Mateusz Rębecki · won 4 of last 5
150015501600202320242025Chris Duncan 2023-03-18: 1516Chris Duncan 2023-07-22: 1532Chris Duncan 2024-02-24: 1516Chris Duncan 2024-09-28: 1532Chris Duncan 2025-03-22: 1546Chris Duncan 2025-08-02: 15621562Mateusz Rębecki 2023-01-14: 1516Mateusz Rębecki 2023-06-24: 1532Mateusz Rębecki 2023-11-11: 1547Mateusz Rębecki 2024-05-11: 1532Mateusz Rębecki 2024-10-26: 1548Mateusz Rębecki 2025-08-02: 15321532

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Chris Duncan
  • Win
    Jordan VucenicSubmission (guillotine choke) · R2 3:42
  • Win
    Bolaji OkiSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 3:34
  • Loss
    Manuel TorresSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 1:46
  • Win
    Yanal AshmouzDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Omar MoralesDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Mateusz Rębecki

Tale of the tape

32Age32
177.8 cmHeight170.2 cm
181.6 cmReach167.6 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
4-1-0UFC record4-1-0
1577Peak Elo1548

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park

Full card »
Tatsuro Taira vs. Park Hyun-sungSubmissionEsteban Ribovics vs. Elves BrenerDecisionKarol Rosa vs. Nora CornolleDecisionNeil Magny vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKOKevin Vallejos vs. Danny SilvaDecisionRinya Nakamura vs. Nathan FletcherKO/TKORodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean GoreDecisionAndrey Pulyaev vs. Nick KleinKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park?

Sat, Aug 2, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.