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Colby Covington vs. Demian Maia: UFC Fight Night, Oct 28, 2017

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · Ginásio do Ibirapuera, São Paulo, Brazil
Colby Covington7-1-0
SatOct 28Decision · R3Welterweight
Demian Maia19-7-0
41.5% (Elo 1594)(Elo 1653) 58.5%

Result

Colby Covington wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Demian Maia 58.5%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Colby Covington 1594, Demian Maia 1653: a 59-point gap.
Common opponents
Dong Hyun Kim (Covington: Win; Maia: Win).
Form
Colby Covington won 4 of the last 5, Demian Maia won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Demian Maia slightly favoured · Demian Maia 58.5% by Elo.
Colby Covington41.5%ELO58.5%Demian Maia
1594 · Pre-fight Elo · 1653

Common opponents

OpponentColby CovingtonDemian Maia
Dong Hyun Kim
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 17, 2017
WinKO/TKO (rib injury), Jul 7, 2012

Recent form

Colby Covington · won 4 of last 5Demian Maia · won 4 of last 5
15001550160016501700200820102012201420162018Colby Covington 2014-08-23: 1516Colby Covington 2014-11-08: 1531Colby Covington 2015-05-23: 1548Colby Covington 2015-12-12: 1532Colby Covington 2016-06-18: 1546Colby Covington 2016-08-20: 1560Colby Covington 2016-12-17: 1575Colby Covington 2017-06-17: 1594Colby Covington 2017-10-28: 16121612Demian Maia 2007-10-20: 1515Demian Maia 2008-04-19: 1531Demian Maia 2008-08-09: 1547Demian Maia 2008-11-15: 1564Demian Maia 2009-02-21: 1577Demian Maia 2009-08-29: 1561Demian Maia 2010-02-06: 1575Demian Maia 2010-04-10: 1562Demian Maia 2010-08-28: 1576Demian Maia 2010-12-04: 1590Demian Maia 2011-06-11: 1572Demian Maia 2011-10-08: 1584Demian Maia 2012-01-28: 1566Demian Maia 2012-07-07: 1582Demian Maia 2012-10-13: 1597Demian Maia 2013-02-02: 1616Demian Maia 2013-10-09: 1596Demian Maia 2014-02-22: 1579Demian Maia 2014-05-31: 1591Demian Maia 2015-03-21: 1606Demian Maia 2015-08-01: 1621Demian Maia 2015-12-12: 1634Demian Maia 2016-05-14: 1648Demian Maia 2016-08-27: 1660Demian Maia 2017-05-13: 1672Demian Maia 2017-07-29: 1653Demian Maia 2017-10-28: 16341634

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Colby Covington
Demian Maia

Tale of the tape

29Age39
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
182.9 cmReach182.9 cm
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
7-1-0UFC record19-7-0
1645Peak Elo1672

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Fox Sports 2

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida

Full card »
Derek Brunson vs. Lyoto MachidaKO/TKOPedro Munhoz vs. Rob FontSubmissionFrancisco Trinaldo vs. Jim MillerDecisionThiago Santos vs. Jack HermanssonKO/TKOJohn Lineker vs. Marlon VeraDecisionVicente Luque vs. Niko PriceSubmissionAntônio Carlos Júnior vs. Jack MarshmanSubmissionJared Gordon vs. Hacran DiasDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida?

Sat, Oct 28, 2017 at Ginásio do Ibirapuera, São Paulo, Brazil.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.