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Kamaru Usman vs. Colby Covington: UFC 245, Dec 14, 2019

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Kamaru Usman (c)10-0-0
SatDec 14KO/TKO · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
Colby Covington10-1-0
51.7% (Elo 1657)(Elo 1645) 48.3%

Result

Kamaru Usman wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 5, 4:10

Pre-fight Elo gave Kamaru Usman 51.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Kamaru Usman 1657, Colby Covington 1645: a 12-point gap.
Common opponents
Rafael dos Anjos (Usman: Win; Covington: Win). Demian Maia (Usman: Win; Covington: Win). Warlley Alves (Usman: Win; Covington: Loss).
Form
Kamaru Usman won 5 of the last 5, Colby Covington won 5 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Kamaru Usman 51.7% by Elo.
Kamaru Usman51.7%ELO48.3%Colby Covington
1657 · Pre-fight Elo · 1645

Common opponents

OpponentKamaru UsmanColby Covington
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 30, 2018
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 9, 2018
Demian Maia
WinDecision (unanimous), May 19, 2018
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 28, 2017
Warlley Alves
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 19, 2016
LossSubmission (guillotine choke), Dec 12, 2015

Recent form

Kamaru Usman · won 5 of last 5Colby Covington · won 5 of last 5
15001550160016501700201520162017201820192020Kamaru Usman 2015-07-12: 1516Kamaru Usman 2015-12-19: 1532Kamaru Usman 2016-07-23: 1547Kamaru Usman 2016-11-19: 1563Kamaru Usman 2017-04-08: 1579Kamaru Usman 2017-09-16: 1595Kamaru Usman 2018-01-14: 1607Kamaru Usman 2018-05-19: 1625Kamaru Usman 2018-11-30: 1641Kamaru Usman 2019-03-02: 1657Kamaru Usman 2019-12-14: 16721672Colby Covington 2014-08-23: 1516Colby Covington 2014-11-08: 1531Colby Covington 2015-05-23: 1548Colby Covington 2015-12-12: 1532Colby Covington 2016-06-18: 1546Colby Covington 2016-08-20: 1560Colby Covington 2016-12-17: 1575Colby Covington 2017-06-17: 1594Colby Covington 2017-10-28: 1612Colby Covington 2018-06-09: 1630Colby Covington 2019-08-03: 1645Colby Covington 2019-12-14: 16291629

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Kamaru Usman
Colby Covington

Tale of the tape

32Age31
182.9 cmHeight180.3 cm
193.0 cmReach182.9 cm
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
10-0-0UFC record10-1-0
1723Peak Elo1645

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2

Early prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

Full card »
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max HollowayDecisionAmanda Nunes vs. Germaine de RandamieDecisionMarlon Moraes vs. José AldoDecisionPetr Yan vs. Urijah FaberKO/TKOGeoff Neal vs. Mike PerryKO/TKOIrene Aldana vs. Ketlen VieiraKO/TKOOmari Akhmedov vs. Ian HeinischDecisionMatt Brown vs. Ben SaundersKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington?

Sat, Dec 14, 2019 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 245 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.