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Matt Brown vs. Ben Saunders: UFC 245, Dec 14, 2019

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Matt Brown14-10-0
SatDec 14KO/TKO · R2Welterweight
Ben Saunders9-9-0
59.7% (Elo 1561)(Elo 1493) 40.3%

Result

Matt Brown wins by KO/TKO (elbows and punches)

round 2, 4:55

Pre-fight Elo gave Matt Brown 59.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Matt Brown 1561, Ben Saunders 1493: a 68-point gap.
Common opponents
Jake Ellenberger (Brown: Loss; Saunders: Win). Mike Swick (Brown: Win; Saunders: Loss). Ryan Thomas (Brown: Win; Saunders: Win).
Form
Matt Brown won 2 of the last 5, Ben Saunders won 1 of 5. Form favours Matt Brown.
Verdict
Matt Brown slightly favoured · Matt Brown 59.7% by Elo.
Matt Brown59.7%ELO40.3%Ben Saunders
1561 · Pre-fight Elo · 1493

Common opponents

OpponentMatt BrownBen Saunders
Jake Ellenberger
LossKO/TKO (body kick and punches), Jul 30, 2016
WinKO/TKO (knee to the body and punches), Jun 1, 2018
Mike Swick
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 8, 2012
LossKO/TKO (punches), Jun 13, 2009
Ryan Thomas
WinSubmission (armbar), Nov 15, 2008
WinSubmission (armbar), Aug 9, 2008

Recent form

Matt Brown · won 2 of last 5Ben Saunders · won 1 of last 5
145015001550160016502008201020122014201620182020Matt Brown 2008-06-21: 1517Matt Brown 2008-09-06: 1501Matt Brown 2008-11-15: 1516Matt Brown 2009-03-07: 1530Matt Brown 2009-11-14: 1545Matt Brown 2010-03-27: 1528Matt Brown 2010-07-03: 1511Matt Brown 2010-11-20: 1494Matt Brown 2011-06-26: 1512Matt Brown 2011-11-19: 1495Matt Brown 2012-02-04: 1512Matt Brown 2012-04-21: 1528Matt Brown 2012-06-22: 1542Matt Brown 2012-12-08: 1560Matt Brown 2013-04-20: 1574Matt Brown 2013-08-17: 1590Matt Brown 2014-05-10: 1603Matt Brown 2014-07-26: 1586Matt Brown 2015-03-14: 1571Matt Brown 2015-07-11: 1586Matt Brown 2016-05-14: 1572Matt Brown 2016-07-30: 1554Matt Brown 2016-12-10: 1544Matt Brown 2017-11-11: 1561Matt Brown 2019-12-14: 15741574Ben Saunders 2007-12-08: 1516Ben Saunders 2008-08-09: 1531Ben Saunders 2008-12-10: 1546Ben Saunders 2009-06-13: 1532Ben Saunders 2009-11-21: 1550Ben Saunders 2010-03-27: 1538Ben Saunders 2010-08-07: 1518Ben Saunders 2014-08-23: 1533Ben Saunders 2014-12-13: 1548Ben Saunders 2015-07-25: 1563Ben Saunders 2016-01-17: 1545Ben Saunders 2017-01-15: 1561Ben Saunders 2017-05-28: 1542Ben Saunders 2018-02-24: 1525Ben Saunders 2018-06-01: 1541Ben Saunders 2018-09-22: 1526Ben Saunders 2018-11-03: 1509Ben Saunders 2019-04-27: 1493Ben Saunders 2019-12-14: 14801480

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Matt Brown
  • Win
    Diego SanchezKO/TKO (elbow) · R1 3:44
  • Loss
    Donald CerroneKO/TKO (Head Kick) · R3 0:34
  • Loss
    Jake EllenbergerKO/TKO (body kick and punches) · R1 1:46
  • Loss
    Demian MaiaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 4:31
  • Win
    Tim MeansSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:44
Ben Saunders
  • Loss
    Takashi SatoKO/TKO (elbows and punches) · R2 1:18
  • Loss
    Lyman GoodKO/TKO (punches) · R1 1:32
  • Loss
    Sérgio MoraesSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R2 4:42
  • Win
    Jake EllenbergerKO/TKO (knee to the body and punches) · R1 1:56
  • Loss
    Alan JoubanKO/TKO (punch) · R2 2:38

Tale of the tape

38Age36
182.9 cmHeight190.5 cm
190.5 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
14-10-0UFC record9-9-0
1603Peak Elo1563

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2

Early prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

Full card »
Kamaru Usman vs. Colby CovingtonKO/TKOAlexander Volkanovski vs. Max HollowayDecisionAmanda Nunes vs. Germaine de RandamieDecisionMarlon Moraes vs. José AldoDecisionPetr Yan vs. Urijah FaberKO/TKOGeoff Neal vs. Mike PerryKO/TKOIrene Aldana vs. Ketlen VieiraKO/TKOOmari Akhmedov vs. Ian HeinischDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington?

Sat, Dec 14, 2019 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 245 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.