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Mario Bautista vs. Da'Mon Blackshear: UFC 292, Aug 19, 2023

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.
SatAug 19Decision · R3Bantamweight
56.7% (Elo 1563)(Elo 1516) 43.3%

Result

Mario Bautista wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Mario Bautista 56.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Mario Bautista 1563, Da'Mon Blackshear 1516: a 47-point gap.
Form
Mario Bautista won 4 of the last 5, Da'Mon Blackshear won 2 of 4. Form favours Mario Bautista.
Verdict
Mario Bautista slightly favoured · Mario Bautista 56.7% by Elo.
Mario Bautista56.7%ELO43.3%Da'Mon Blackshear
1563 · Pre-fight Elo · 1516

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Mario Bautista · won 4 of last 5Da'Mon Blackshear · won 2 of last 4
145015001550160020192020202120222023Mario Bautista 2019-01-19: 1486Mario Bautista 2019-07-20: 1501Mario Bautista 2020-02-08: 1518Mario Bautista 2021-03-06: 1501Mario Bautista 2022-02-19: 1517Mario Bautista 2022-06-25: 1534Mario Bautista 2022-11-05: 1549Mario Bautista 2023-03-11: 1563Mario Bautista 2023-08-19: 15761576Da'Mon Blackshear 2022-08-13: 1500Da'Mon Blackshear 2023-03-04: 1484Da'Mon Blackshear 2023-06-03: 1500Da'Mon Blackshear 2023-08-12: 1516Da'Mon Blackshear 2023-08-19: 15021502

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Mario Bautista
  • Win
    Guido CannettiSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:18
  • Win
    Benito LopezSubmission (reverse triangle armbar) · R1 4:54
  • Win
    Brian KelleherSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 2:27
  • Win
    Jay PerrinDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Trevin JonesKO/TKO (punches) · R2 0:40
Da'Mon Blackshear

Tale of the tape

30Ageno data yet
175.3 cmHeightno data yet
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
6-2-0UFC record2-1-1
1633Peak Elo1538

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley?

Sat, Aug 19, 2023 at TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 292 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.