Result
Melquizael Costa wins by KO/TKO (spinning back kick and punches)
round 1, 4:56
Pre-fight Elo gave Melquizael Costa 55.2%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Melquizael Costa 1569, Dan Ige 1533: a 36-point gap.
- Common opponents
- Andre Fili (Costa: Win; Ige: Win).
- Form
- Melquizael Costa won 5 of the last 5, Dan Ige won 2 of 5. Form favours Melquizael Costa.
- Verdict
- Melquizael Costa slightly favoured · Melquizael Costa 55.2% by Elo.
Common opponents
| Opponent | Melquizael Costa | Dan Ige |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Fili | WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Feb 22, 2025 | WinKO/TKO (punches), Feb 10, 2024 |
Recent form
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
- WinMorgan CharrièreKO/TKO (head kick) · R1 1:14
- WinJulian ErosaDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinChristian RodriguezDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinAndre FiliSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:30
- WinShayilan NuerdanbiekeSubmission (face crank) · R3 1:50
- LossPatrício PitbullDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinSean WoodsonKO/TKO (punches) · R3 1:12
- LossLerone MurphyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossDiego LopesDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinAndre FiliKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:43
Tale of the tape
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+ / UFC Fight Pass
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez?
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 at Toyota Center, Houston, Texas, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.