Uroš Medić vs. Geoff Neal: UFC Fight Night, Feb 21, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Toyota Center, Houston, Texas, U.S.

Uroš Medić6-3-0

SatFeb 21KO/TKO · R1Welterweight

Geoff Neal8-5-0

48.8% (Elo 1548)

(Elo 1556) 51.2%

Result

Uroš Medić wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 1:19

Pre-fight Elo gave Geoff Neal 51.2%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Uroš Medić 1548, Geoff Neal 1556: a 8-point gap.
Form: Uroš Medić won 3 of the last 5, Geoff Neal won 2 of 5. Form favours Uroš Medić.
Verdict: Close fight · Geoff Neal 51.2% by Elo. Form favours Uroš Medić.

Uroš Medić48.8%ELO51.2%Geoff Neal

1548 · Pre-fight Elo · 1556

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Uroš Medić · won 3 of last 5Geoff Neal · won 2 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Uroš Medić

Win
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO (punches) · R1 1:03
Nov 8, 2025
Win
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO (punch) · R1 1:03
Aug 9, 2025
Loss
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO (punches) · R1 0:31
Jan 11, 2025
Win
Tim MeansKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:09
Apr 27, 2024
Loss
Myktybek OrolbaiSubmission (neck crank) · R2 4:12
Nov 18, 2023

Geoff Neal

Loss
Carlos PratesKO/TKO (spinning back elbow) · R1 4:59
Aug 16, 2025
Win
Rafael dos AnjosKO/TKO (knee injury) · R1 1:30
Oct 26, 2024
Loss
Ian Machado GarryDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Feb 17, 2024
Loss
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 4:17
Mar 4, 2023
Win
Vicente LuqueKO/TKO (punches) · R3 2:01
Aug 6, 2022

Tale of the tape

32Age35

185.4 cmHeight180.3 cm

180.3 cmReach190.5 cm

SouthpawStanceno data yet

6-3-0UFC record8-5-0

1582Peak Elo1587

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Full card »

Sean Strickland vs. Anthony HernandezKO/TKO Melquizael Costa vs. Dan IgeKO/TKO Serghei Spivac vs. Ante DelijaDecision Jacobe Smith vs. Josiah HarrellKO/TKO Michel Pereira vs. Zachary ReeseDecision Carlos Leal vs. Chidi NjokuaniDecision Alibi Idiris vs. Ode' OsbourneNC Alden Coria vs. Luis GuruleDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez?

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 at Toyota Center, Houston, Texas, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.