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Daniel Rodriguez vs. Kevin Holland: UFC 318, Jul 19, 2025

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana, U.S.
Daniel Rodriguez9-4-0
SatJul 19Decision · R3Welterweight
Kevin Holland15-10-0 (1 NC)
50.8% (Elo 1579)(Elo 1573) 49.2%

Result

Daniel Rodriguez wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Daniel Rodriguez 50.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Daniel Rodriguez 1579, Kevin Holland 1573: a 6-point gap.
Common opponents
Santiago Ponzinibbio (Rodriguez: Win; Holland: Win). Tim Means (Rodriguez: Win; Holland: Win).
Form
Daniel Rodriguez won 2 of the last 5, Kevin Holland won 3 of 5. Form favours Kevin Holland.
Verdict
Close fight · Daniel Rodriguez 50.8% by Elo. Form favours Kevin Holland.
Daniel Rodriguez50.8%ELO49.2%Kevin Holland
1579 · Pre-fight Elo · 1573

Common opponents

OpponentDaniel RodriguezKevin Holland
Santiago Ponzinibbio
WinKO/TKO (punches), May 3, 2025
WinKO/TKO (punch), Apr 8, 2023
Tim Means
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Feb 15, 2020
WinSubmission (D'Arce choke), Jun 18, 2022

Recent form

Daniel Rodriguez · won 2 of last 5Kevin Holland · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016002019202020212022202320242025Daniel Rodriguez 2020-02-15: 1518Daniel Rodriguez 2020-05-30: 1533Daniel Rodriguez 2020-08-22: 1548Daniel Rodriguez 2020-11-21: 1530Daniel Rodriguez 2021-04-10: 1546Daniel Rodriguez 2021-07-17: 1560Daniel Rodriguez 2021-08-28: 1577Daniel Rodriguez 2022-09-10: 1593Daniel Rodriguez 2022-11-05: 1579Daniel Rodriguez 2023-05-13: 1562Daniel Rodriguez 2024-06-22: 1545Daniel Rodriguez 2024-10-12: 1562Daniel Rodriguez 2025-05-03: 1579Daniel Rodriguez 2025-07-19: 15941594Kevin Holland 2018-08-04: 1487Kevin Holland 2018-11-24: 1503Kevin Holland 2019-03-30: 1520Kevin Holland 2019-06-22: 1536Kevin Holland 2019-10-18: 1518Kevin Holland 2020-05-16: 1533Kevin Holland 2020-08-08: 1548Kevin Holland 2020-09-19: 1563Kevin Holland 2020-10-31: 1576Kevin Holland 2020-12-12: 1591Kevin Holland 2021-03-20: 1576Kevin Holland 2021-04-10: 1560Kevin Holland 2021-10-02: 1560Kevin Holland 2022-03-05: 1574Kevin Holland 2022-06-18: 1589Kevin Holland 2022-09-10: 1573Kevin Holland 2022-12-03: 1557Kevin Holland 2023-04-08: 1575Kevin Holland 2023-07-29: 1591Kevin Holland 2023-09-16: 1575Kevin Holland 2024-03-09: 1555Kevin Holland 2024-06-01: 1570Kevin Holland 2024-10-05: 1554Kevin Holland 2025-01-18: 1536Kevin Holland 2025-03-22: 1554Kevin Holland 2025-06-07: 1573Kevin Holland 2025-07-19: 15571557

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Daniel Rodriguez
Kevin Holland

Tale of the tape

38Age32
182.9 cmHeight190.5 cm
188.0 cmReach205.7 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
9-4-0UFC record15-10-0 (1 NC)
1594Peak Elo1591

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / Disney+

Early prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+ / Disney+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Full card »
Max Holloway vs. Dustin PoirierDecisionPaulo Costa vs. Roman KopylovDecisionPatrício Pitbull vs. Dan IgeDecisionMichael Johnson vs. Daniel ZellhuberDecisionVinicius Oliveira vs. Kyler PhillipsDecisionBrendan Allen vs. Marvin VettoriDecisionNikolay Veretennikov vs. Francisco PradoDecisionAteba Gautier vs. Robert ValentinKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3?

Sat, Jul 19, 2025 at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 318 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.