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Islam Makhachev vs. Drew Dober: UFC 259, Mar 6, 2021

UFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Islam Makhachev7-1-0
SatMar 6Submission · R3Lightweight
Drew Dober9-5-0 (1 NC)
54.5% (Elo 1599)(Elo 1568) 45.5%

Result

Islam Makhachev wins by Submission (arm-triangle choke)

round 3, 1:37

Pre-fight Elo gave Islam Makhachev 54.5%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Islam Makhachev 1599, Drew Dober 1568: a 31-point gap.
Form
Islam Makhachev won 5 of the last 5, Drew Dober won 4 of 5. Form favours Islam Makhachev.
Verdict
Close fight · Islam Makhachev 54.5% by Elo.
Islam Makhachev54.5%ELO45.5%Drew Dober
1599 · Pre-fight Elo · 1568

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Islam Makhachev · won 5 of last 5Drew Dober · won 4 of last 5
1450150015501600165020142015201620172018201920202021Islam Makhachev 2015-05-23: 1516Islam Makhachev 2015-10-03: 1501Islam Makhachev 2016-09-17: 1519Islam Makhachev 2017-02-11: 1538Islam Makhachev 2018-01-20: 1556Islam Makhachev 2018-07-28: 1572Islam Makhachev 2019-04-20: 1585Islam Makhachev 2019-09-07: 1599Islam Makhachev 2021-03-06: 16141614Drew Dober 2013-11-30: 1484Drew Dober 2014-05-31: 1469Drew Dober 2014-12-13: 1485Drew Dober 2015-03-21: 1485Drew Dober 2015-06-13: 1469Drew Dober 2016-01-02: 1487Drew Dober 2016-09-10: 1504Drew Dober 2016-12-10: 1489Drew Dober 2017-07-29: 1503Drew Dober 2018-01-27: 1519Drew Dober 2018-08-25: 1534Drew Dober 2019-03-09: 1520Drew Dober 2019-06-29: 1536Drew Dober 2020-01-18: 1552Drew Dober 2020-05-13: 1568Drew Dober 2021-03-06: 15531553

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Islam Makhachev
Drew Dober

Tale of the tape

29Age32
177.8 cmHeight172.7 cm
177.8 cmReach177.8 cm
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
7-1-0UFC record9-5-0 (1 NC)
1752Peak Elo1581

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya

Full card »
Jan Błachowicz vs. Israel AdesanyaDecisionAmanda Nunes vs. Megan AndersonSubmissionAljamain Sterling vs. Petr YanDisqualificationAleksandar Rakić vs. Thiago SantosDecisionDominick Cruz vs. Casey KenneyDecisionKyler Phillips vs. Song YadongDecisionAskar Askarov vs. Joseph BenavidezDecisionKai Kara-France vs. Rogério BontorinKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya?

Sat, Mar 6, 2021 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 259 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.