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Ernesta Kareckaitė vs. Melissa Gatto: UFC Fight Night, Oct 10, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Ernesta Kareckaitė1-2-0
SatOct 10in 1 dayWomen's Flyweight
Melissa Gatto3-3-0#26 Women's Flyweight
48.1% (Elo 1485)(Elo 1498) 51.9%

Elo prediction

Elo
Ernesta Kareckaitė 1485, Melissa Gatto 1498: a 13-point gap.
Common opponents
Dione Barbosa (Kareckaitė: Loss; Gatto: Loss).
Form
Ernesta Kareckaitė won 1 of the last 3, Melissa Gatto won 2 of 5. Form favours Melissa Gatto.
Verdict
Close fight · Melissa Gatto 51.9% by Elo.
Ernesta Kareckaitė48.1%ELO51.9%Melissa Gatto
1485 · Pre-fight Elo · 1498

Common opponents

OpponentErnesta KareckaitėMelissa Gatto
Dione Barbosa
LossDecision (unanimous), May 4, 2024
LossDecision (majority), Apr 4, 2026

Recent form

Ernesta Kareckaitė · won 1 of last 3Melissa Gatto · won 2 of last 5
14501500155020222023202420252026Ernesta Kareckaitė 2024-05-04: 1484Ernesta Kareckaitė 2025-01-11: 1501Ernesta Kareckaitė 2026-02-28: 14851485Melissa Gatto 2021-08-07: 1515Melissa Gatto 2021-12-18: 1531Melissa Gatto 2022-05-07: 1516Melissa Gatto 2023-07-01: 1499Melissa Gatto 2024-05-18: 1515Melissa Gatto 2026-04-04: 14981498

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Ernesta Kareckaitė
Melissa Gatto

Tale of the tape

no data yetAge30
no data yetHeight165.1 cm
no data yetReach175.3 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
1-2-0UFC record3-3-0
1501Peak Elo1531

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Fight card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Full card »
Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan57.6% · 42.4%Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert52.6% · 47.4%Loopy Godínez vs. Ketlen Souza54.1% · 45.9%Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III52.7% · 47.3%Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi51.8% · 48.2%Julius Walker vs. Gerald Meerschaert51.0% · 49.0%Francisco Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim45.7% · 54.3%Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan47.3% · 52.7%

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.