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Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert: UFC Fight Night, Oct 10, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Matheus Camilo2-1-0#50 Lightweight
SatOct 10in 1 dayLightweight
Jai Herbert4-5-1#72 Lightweight
52.6% (Elo 1517)(Elo 1499) 47.4%

Elo prediction

Elo
Matheus Camilo 1517, Jai Herbert 1499: a 18-point gap.
Form
Matheus Camilo won 2 of the last 3, Jai Herbert won 2 of 5. Form favours Matheus Camilo.
Verdict
Close fight · Matheus Camilo 52.6% by Elo.
Matheus Camilo52.6%ELO47.4%Jai Herbert
1517 · Pre-fight Elo · 1499

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Matheus Camilo · won 2 of last 3Jai Herbert · won 2 of last 5
145015001550202120222023202420252026Matheus Camilo 2025-05-17: 1483Matheus Camilo 2025-11-15: 1499Matheus Camilo 2026-06-27: 15171517Jai Herbert 2020-07-26: 1489Jai Herbert 2021-06-26: 1475Jai Herbert 2021-10-23: 1492Jai Herbert 2022-03-19: 1479Jai Herbert 2022-07-23: 1495Jai Herbert 2023-03-18: 1496Jai Herbert 2023-07-22: 1481Jai Herbert 2024-08-03: 1496Jai Herbert 2025-03-22: 1482Jai Herbert 2026-04-18: 14991499

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Matheus Camilo
Jai Herbert

Tale of the tape

no data yetAge38
no data yetHeight185.4 cm
no data yetReach195.6 cm
no data yetStanceOrthodox
2-1-0UFC record4-5-1
1517Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Fight card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Full card »
Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan57.6% · 42.4%Loopy Godínez vs. Ketlen Souza54.1% · 45.9%Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III52.7% · 47.3%Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi51.8% · 48.2%Julius Walker vs. Gerald Meerschaert51.0% · 49.0%Francisco Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim45.7% · 54.3%Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan47.3% · 52.7%Felipe Franco vs. Brendson Ribeiro58.1% · 41.9%

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.