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Joel Álvarez vs. Marc Diakiese: UFC Fight Night, Jul 22, 2023

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · The O2 Arena, London, England
Joel Álvarez4-2-0
SatJul 22Submission · R2Lightweight
Marc Diakiese7-6-0
53.6% (Elo 1532)(Elo 1507) 46.4%

Result

Joel Álvarez wins by Submission (brabo choke)

round 2, 4:26

Pre-fight Elo gave Joel Álvarez 53.6%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Joel Álvarez 1532, Marc Diakiese 1507: a 25-point gap.
Common opponents
Joseph Duffy (Álvarez: Win; Diakiese: Win).
Form
Joel Álvarez won 4 of the last 5, Marc Diakiese won 2 of 5. Form favours Joel Álvarez.
Verdict
Close fight · Joel Álvarez 53.6% by Elo.
Joel Álvarez53.6%ELO46.4%Marc Diakiese
1532 · Pre-fight Elo · 1507

Common opponents

OpponentJoel ÁlvarezMarc Diakiese
Joseph Duffy
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Jul 19, 2020
WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 16, 2019

Recent form

Joel Álvarez · won 4 of last 5Marc Diakiese · won 2 of last 5
1450150015502017201820192020202120222023Joel Álvarez 2019-02-23: 1485Joel Álvarez 2019-06-01: 1501Joel Álvarez 2020-07-19: 1518Joel Álvarez 2020-10-24: 1532Joel Álvarez 2021-11-13: 1548Joel Álvarez 2022-02-26: 1532Joel Álvarez 2023-07-22: 15471547Marc Diakiese 2016-10-08: 1515Marc Diakiese 2016-12-09: 1530Marc Diakiese 2017-03-18: 1545Marc Diakiese 2017-07-07: 1527Marc Diakiese 2017-12-30: 1511Marc Diakiese 2018-07-22: 1493Marc Diakiese 2019-03-16: 1511Marc Diakiese 2019-09-28: 1527Marc Diakiese 2020-07-19: 1509Marc Diakiese 2021-11-13: 1492Marc Diakiese 2022-03-26: 1509Marc Diakiese 2022-07-23: 1525Marc Diakiese 2022-12-03: 1507Marc Diakiese 2023-07-22: 14931493

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Joel Álvarez
Marc Diakiese

Tale of the tape

30Age30
190.5 cmHeight177.8 cm
195.6 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
4-2-0UFC record7-6-0
1598Peak Elo1545

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura

Full card »
Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin TyburaKO/TKOJulija Stoliarenko vs. Molly McCannSubmissionNathaniel Wood vs. Andre FiliDecisionPaul Craig vs. André MunizKO/TKOFarès Ziam vs. Jai HerbertDecisionLerone Murphy vs. Joshua CulibaoDecisionDaniel Marcos vs. Davey GrantDecisionJonny Parsons vs. Danny RobertsKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura?

Sat, Jul 22, 2023 at The O2 Arena, London, England.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.