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Max Holloway vs. Justin Gaethje: UFC 300, Apr 13, 2024

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Max Holloway21-7-0
SatApr 13KO/TKO · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
Justin Gaethje (c)8-4-0
61.1% (Elo 1684)(Elo 1606) 38.9%

Result

Max Holloway wins by KO/TKO (punch)

round 5, 4:59

Pre-fight Elo gave Max Holloway 61.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Max Holloway 1684, Justin Gaethje 1606: a 78-point gap.
Common opponents
Dustin Poirier (Holloway: Loss ×2; Gaethje: Loss, Win). Charles Oliveira (Holloway: Win; Gaethje: Loss).
Form
Max Holloway won 4 of the last 5, Justin Gaethje won 3 of 5. Form favours Max Holloway.
Verdict
Max Holloway slightly favoured · Max Holloway 61.1% by Elo.
Max Holloway61.1%ELO38.9%Justin Gaethje
1684 · Pre-fight Elo · 1606

Common opponents

OpponentMax HollowayJustin Gaethje
Dustin Poirier
LossSubmission (triangle armbar), Feb 4, 2012
LossDecision (unanimous), Apr 13, 2019
LossKO/TKO (punches), Apr 14, 2018
WinKO/TKO (head kick), Jul 29, 2023
Charles Oliveira
WinKO/TKO (esophagus injury), Aug 23, 2015
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), May 7, 2022

Recent form

Max Holloway · won 4 of last 5Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5
1450150015501600165017002012201420162018202020222024Max Holloway 2012-02-04: 1486Max Holloway 2012-06-01: 1502Max Holloway 2012-08-11: 1519Max Holloway 2012-12-29: 1532Max Holloway 2013-05-25: 1516Max Holloway 2013-08-17: 1500Max Holloway 2014-01-04: 1516Max Holloway 2014-04-26: 1532Max Holloway 2014-08-23: 1546Max Holloway 2014-10-04: 1562Max Holloway 2015-02-14: 1577Max Holloway 2015-04-18: 1592Max Holloway 2015-08-23: 1607Max Holloway 2015-12-12: 1620Max Holloway 2016-06-04: 1634Max Holloway 2016-12-10: 1646Max Holloway 2017-06-03: 1661Max Holloway 2017-12-02: 1674Max Holloway 2018-12-08: 1687Max Holloway 2019-04-13: 1670Max Holloway 2019-07-27: 1685Max Holloway 2019-12-14: 1665Max Holloway 2020-07-12: 1648Max Holloway 2021-01-16: 1660Max Holloway 2021-11-13: 1674Max Holloway 2022-07-02: 1658Max Holloway 2023-04-15: 1673Max Holloway 2023-08-26: 1684Max Holloway 2024-04-13: 16971697Justin Gaethje 2017-07-07: 1518Justin Gaethje 2017-12-02: 1503Justin Gaethje 2018-04-14: 1493Justin Gaethje 2018-08-25: 1514Justin Gaethje 2019-03-30: 1534Justin Gaethje 2019-09-14: 1555Justin Gaethje 2020-05-09: 1578Justin Gaethje 2020-10-24: 1566Justin Gaethje 2021-11-06: 1580Justin Gaethje 2022-05-07: 1568Justin Gaethje 2023-03-18: 1585Justin Gaethje 2023-07-29: 1606Justin Gaethje 2024-04-13: 15931593

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Max Holloway
Justin Gaethje

Tale of the tape

32Age35
180.3 cmHeight180.3 cm
175.3 cmReach177.8 cm
no data yetStanceOrthodox
21-7-0UFC record8-4-0
1697Peak Elo1641

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill

Full card »
Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal HillKO/TKOZhang Weili vs. Yan XiaonanDecisionArman Tsarukyan vs. Charles OliveiraDecisionBo Nickal vs. Cody BrundageSubmissionJiří Procházka vs. Aleksandar RakićKO/TKOAljamain Sterling vs. Calvin KattarDecisionKayla Harrison vs. Holly HolmSubmissionDiego Lopes vs. Sodiq YusuffKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill?

Sat, Apr 13, 2024 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 300 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.