Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev: UFC 313, Mar 8, 2025

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Justin Gaethje8-5-0

SatMar 8Decision · R3Lightweight

Rafael Fiziev6-3-0

55.7% (Elo 1593)

(Elo 1554) 44.3%

Result

Justin Gaethje wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Justin Gaethje 55.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo: Justin Gaethje 1593, Rafael Fiziev 1554: a 39-point gap.
Head-to-head: They have met once; most recently on Mar 18, 2023: Justin Gaethje wins by Decision (majority).
Form: Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Rafael Fiziev won 3 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict: Justin Gaethje slightly favoured · Justin Gaethje 55.7% by Elo.

Justin Gaethje55.7%ELO44.3%Rafael Fiziev

1593 · Pre-fight Elo · 1554

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Rafael Fiziev · won 3 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Justin Gaethje

Loss
Max HollowayKO/TKO (punch) · R5 4:59
Apr 13, 2024
Win
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO (head kick) · R2 1:00
Jul 29, 2023
Win
Rafael FizievDecision (majority) · R3 5:00
Mar 18, 2023
Loss
Charles OliveiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:22
May 7, 2022
Win
Michael ChandlerDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Nov 6, 2021

Rafael Fiziev

Loss
Mateusz GamrotKO/TKO (knee injury) · R2 2:03
Sep 23, 2023
Loss
Justin GaethjeDecision (majority) · R3 5:00
Mar 18, 2023
Win
Rafael dos AnjosKO/TKO (punches) · R5 0:18
Jul 9, 2022
Win
Brad RiddellKO/TKO (spinning wheel kick) · R3 2:20
Dec 4, 2021
Win
King GreenDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Aug 7, 2021

Tale of the tape

36Age32

180.3 cmHeight172.7 cm

177.8 cmReachno data yet

OrthodoxStanceSwitch

8-5-0UFC record6-3-0

1641Peak Elo1587

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+ / Disney+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / Disney+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Full card »

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex PereiraDecision Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Jalin TurnerSubmission Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin LucindoDecision Maurício Ruffy vs. King GreenKO/TKO Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaDecision Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanSubmission Carlos Leal vs. Alex MoronoKO/TKO Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev?

Sat, Mar 8, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 313 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.