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Luana Santos vs. Mariya Agapova: UFC on ESPN, Jul 13, 2024

UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado, U.S.
Luana Santos2-0-0
SatJul 13Submission · R1Women's Flyweight
Mariya Agapova2-3-0
56.8% (Elo 1531)(Elo 1483) 43.2%

Result

Luana Santos wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 1, 3:27

Pre-fight Elo gave Luana Santos 56.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Luana Santos 1531, Mariya Agapova 1483: a 48-point gap.
Form
Luana Santos won 2 of the last 2, Mariya Agapova won 2 of 5. Form favours Luana Santos.
Verdict
Luana Santos slightly favoured · Luana Santos 56.8% by Elo.
Luana Santos56.8%ELO43.2%Mariya Agapova
1531 · Pre-fight Elo · 1483

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Luana Santos · won 2 of last 2Mariya Agapova · won 2 of last 5
1450150015502021202220232024Luana Santos 2023-08-12: 1516Luana Santos 2023-12-09: 1531Luana Santos 2024-07-13: 15451545Mariya Agapova 2020-06-13: 1515Mariya Agapova 2020-08-22: 1497Mariya Agapova 2021-10-09: 1514Mariya Agapova 2022-03-05: 1498Mariya Agapova 2022-09-17: 1483Mariya Agapova 2024-07-13: 14701470

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Luana Santos
Mariya Agapova
  • Loss
    Gillian RobertsonSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 2:19
  • Loss
    Maryna MorozSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R2 3:27
  • Win
    Sabina MazoSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 0:53
  • Loss
    Shana DobsonKO/TKO (punches) · R2 1:38
  • Win
    Hannah CifersSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 2:42

Tale of the tape

24Age27
167.6 cmHeight167.6 cm
170.2 cmReach174.0 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
2-0-0UFC record2-3-0
1574Peak Elo1515

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Full card »
Rose Namajunas vs. Tracy CortezDecisionMuslim Salikhov vs. Santiago PonzinibbioDecisionJean Silva vs. Drew DoberKO/TKOGabriel Bonfim vs. Ange LoosaDecisionJulian Erosa vs. Christian RodriguezSubmissionAbdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody BrundageNCCharles Johnson vs. Joshua VanKO/TKOJasmine Jasudavicius vs. Fatima KlineDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez?

Sat, Jul 13, 2024 at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.