Luana Santos vs. Melissa Croden: UFC on ESPN, Dec 13, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Luana Santos4-1-0

SatDec 13Decision · R3Women's Bantamweight

Melissa Croden1-0-0

53.9% (Elo 1544)

(Elo 1517) 46.1%

Result

Luana Santos wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Luana Santos 53.9%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo: Luana Santos 1544, Melissa Croden 1517: a 27-point gap.
Common opponents: Tainara Lisboa (Santos: Win; Croden: Win).
Form: Luana Santos won 4 of the last 5, Melissa Croden won 1 of 1. Form favours Melissa Croden.
Verdict: Close fight · Luana Santos 53.9% by Elo. Form favours Melissa Croden.

Luana Santos53.9%ELO46.1%Melissa Croden

1544 · Pre-fight Elo · 1517

Common opponents

Opponent	Luana Santos	Melissa Croden
Tainara Lisboa	WinSubmission (keylock), May 17, 2025	WinKO/TKO (punches), Oct 18, 2025

Recent form

Luana Santos · won 4 of last 5Melissa Croden · won 1 of last 1

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Luana Santos

Win
Tainara LisboaSubmission (keylock) · R2 4:59
May 17, 2025
Loss
Casey O'NeillDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Aug 18, 2024
Win
Mariya AgapovaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:27
Jul 13, 2024
Win
Stephanie EggerDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Dec 9, 2023
Win
Juliana MillerKO/TKO (punches) · R1 3:41
Aug 12, 2023

Melissa Croden

Win
Tainara LisboaKO/TKO (punches) · R3 4:32
Oct 18, 2025

Tale of the tape

25Ageno data yet

167.6 cmHeightno data yet

170.2 cmReachno data yet

no data yetStanceno data yet

4-1-0UFC record1-0-0

1574Peak Elo1518

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape

Full card »

Manel Kape vs. Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO Kevin Vallejos vs. Giga ChikadzeKO/TKO Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs. César AlmeidaDecision Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan CharrièreKO/TKO Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus BuchechaDraw King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.Decision Yaroslav Amosov vs. Neil MagnySubmission Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac ThomsonDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape?

Sat, Dec 13, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.