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Marcin Tybura vs. Tai Tuivasa: UFC Fight Night, Mar 16, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Marcin Tybura11-7-0
SatMar 16Submission · R1Heavyweight
Tai Tuivasa8-6-0
54.6% (Elo 1570)(Elo 1538) 45.4%

Result

Marcin Tybura wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 1, 4:08

Pre-fight Elo gave Marcin Tybura 54.6%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Marcin Tybura 1570, Tai Tuivasa 1538: a 32-point gap.
Common opponents
Alexander Volkov (Tybura: Loss; Tuivasa: Loss). Blagoy Ivanov (Tybura: Win; Tuivasa: Loss). Derrick Lewis (Tybura: Loss; Tuivasa: Win).
Form
Marcin Tybura won 3 of the last 5, Tai Tuivasa won 2 of 5. Form favours Marcin Tybura.
Verdict
Close fight · Marcin Tybura 54.6% by Elo.
Marcin Tybura54.6%ELO45.4%Tai Tuivasa
1570 · Pre-fight Elo · 1538

Common opponents

OpponentMarcin TyburaTai Tuivasa
Alexander Volkov
LossDecision (unanimous), Oct 30, 2021
LossSubmission (Ezekiel choke), Sep 10, 2023
Blagoy Ivanov
WinDecision (unanimous), Feb 4, 2023
LossDecision (unanimous), Jun 8, 2019
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO (punches), Feb 18, 2018
WinKO/TKO (elbow), Feb 12, 2022
Augusto Sakai
LossKO/TKO (punches), Sep 14, 2019
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 11, 2021
Greg Hardy
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 19, 2020
WinKO/TKO (punches), Jul 10, 2021
Stefan Struve
WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 22, 2018
WinKO/TKO (punches), Oct 24, 2020
Serghei Spivac
WinDecision (unanimous), Feb 29, 2020
LossSubmission (arm-triangle choke), Oct 5, 2019
Andrei Arlovski
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 17, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 9, 2018

Recent form

Marcin Tybura · won 3 of last 5Tai Tuivasa · won 2 of last 5
1450150015501600201620172018201920202021202220232024Marcin Tybura 2016-04-10: 1484Marcin Tybura 2016-08-06: 1500Marcin Tybura 2017-03-04: 1517Marcin Tybura 2017-06-17: 1535Marcin Tybura 2017-11-19: 1522Marcin Tybura 2018-02-18: 1509Marcin Tybura 2018-07-22: 1527Marcin Tybura 2019-04-20: 1511Marcin Tybura 2019-09-14: 1496Marcin Tybura 2020-02-29: 1512Marcin Tybura 2020-07-12: 1528Marcin Tybura 2020-10-11: 1544Marcin Tybura 2020-12-19: 1560Marcin Tybura 2021-06-05: 1573Marcin Tybura 2021-10-30: 1557Marcin Tybura 2022-08-20: 1573Marcin Tybura 2023-02-04: 1587Marcin Tybura 2023-07-22: 1570Marcin Tybura 2024-03-16: 15841584Tai Tuivasa 2017-11-19: 1515Tai Tuivasa 2018-02-11: 1530Tai Tuivasa 2018-06-09: 1549Tai Tuivasa 2018-12-02: 1536Tai Tuivasa 2019-06-08: 1519Tai Tuivasa 2019-10-05: 1501Tai Tuivasa 2020-10-24: 1518Tai Tuivasa 2021-03-20: 1533Tai Tuivasa 2021-07-10: 1549Tai Tuivasa 2021-12-11: 1564Tai Tuivasa 2022-02-12: 1583Tai Tuivasa 2022-09-03: 1568Tai Tuivasa 2022-12-03: 1552Tai Tuivasa 2023-09-10: 1538Tai Tuivasa 2024-03-16: 15231523

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Marcin Tybura
Tai Tuivasa

Tale of the tape

38Age31
no data yetHeight188.0 cm
no data yetReach190.5 cm
no data yetStanceOrthodox
11-7-0UFC record8-6-0
1596Peak Elo1583

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Full card »
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FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura?

Sat, Mar 16, 2024 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.