ENVI
UFCBoxing soon

Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira: UFC Fight Night, Feb 7, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Mario Bautista10-3-0
SatFeb 7Submission · R2Bantamweight
Vinicius Oliveira4-0-0
55.0% (Elo 1603)(Elo 1568) 45.0%

Result

Mario Bautista wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 2, 4:46

Pre-fight Elo gave Mario Bautista 55.0%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Mario Bautista 1603, Vinicius Oliveira 1568: a 35-point gap.
Common opponents
Ricky Simón (Bautista: Win; Oliveira: Win).
Form
Mario Bautista won 4 of the last 5, Vinicius Oliveira won 4 of 4. Form favours Vinicius Oliveira.
Verdict
Close fight · Mario Bautista 55.0% by Elo. Form favours Vinicius Oliveira.
Mario Bautista55.0%ELO45.0%Vinicius Oliveira
1603 · Pre-fight Elo · 1568

Common opponents

OpponentMario BautistaVinicius Oliveira
Ricky Simón
WinDecision (unanimous), Jan 13, 2024
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 29, 2024

Recent form

Mario Bautista · won 4 of last 5Vinicius Oliveira · won 4 of last 4
1450150015501600165020192020202120222023202420252026Mario Bautista 2019-01-19: 1486Mario Bautista 2019-07-20: 1501Mario Bautista 2020-02-08: 1518Mario Bautista 2021-03-06: 1501Mario Bautista 2022-02-19: 1517Mario Bautista 2022-06-25: 1534Mario Bautista 2022-11-05: 1549Mario Bautista 2023-03-11: 1563Mario Bautista 2023-08-19: 1576Mario Bautista 2024-01-13: 1593Mario Bautista 2024-10-05: 1610Mario Bautista 2025-06-07: 1621Mario Bautista 2025-10-25: 1603Mario Bautista 2026-02-07: 16171617Vinicius Oliveira 2024-03-02: 1516Vinicius Oliveira 2024-06-29: 1534Vinicius Oliveira 2025-02-01: 1552Vinicius Oliveira 2025-07-19: 1568Vinicius Oliveira 2026-02-07: 15541554

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Mario Bautista
Vinicius Oliveira

Tale of the tape

32Age30
175.3 cmHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceSwitch
10-3-0UFC record4-0-0
1633Peak Elo1568

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

Full card »
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir AlbaziDecisionRizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton AlmeidaDecisionMichał Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-André BarriaultDecisionFarid Basharat vs. Jean MatsumotoDecisionDustin Jacoby vs. Julius WalkerKO/TKODaniil Donchenko vs. Alex MoronoDecisionNikolay Veretennikov vs. Niko PriceKO/TKOKetlen Souza vs. Bruna BrasilDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira?

Sat, Feb 7, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.