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Matheus Nicolau vs. Matt Schnell: UFC on ESPN, Dec 3, 2022

UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Kia Center, Orlando, Florida, U.S.
Matheus Nicolau6-1-0
SatDec 3KO/TKO · R2Flyweight
Matt Schnell6-4-0 (1 NC)
55.4% (Elo 1574)(Elo 1536) 44.6%

Result

Matheus Nicolau wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 2, 1:44

Pre-fight Elo gave Matheus Nicolau 55.4%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Matheus Nicolau 1574, Matt Schnell 1536: a 38-point gap.
Common opponents
Louis Smolka (Nicolau: Win; Schnell: Win).
Form
Matheus Nicolau won 4 of the last 5, Matt Schnell won 2 of 5. Form favours Matheus Nicolau.
Verdict
Matheus Nicolau slightly favoured · Matheus Nicolau 55.4% by Elo.
Matheus Nicolau55.4%ELO44.6%Matt Schnell
1574 · Pre-fight Elo · 1536

Common opponents

OpponentMatheus NicolauMatt Schnell
Louis Smolka
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 30, 2017
WinSubmission (triangle choke), Mar 9, 2019

Recent form

Matheus Nicolau · won 4 of last 5Matt Schnell · won 2 of last 5
145015001550160020162017201820192020202120222023Matheus Nicolau 2015-11-07: 1516Matheus Nicolau 2016-07-08: 1533Matheus Nicolau 2017-12-30: 1548Matheus Nicolau 2018-07-28: 1531Matheus Nicolau 2021-03-13: 1545Matheus Nicolau 2021-10-09: 1558Matheus Nicolau 2022-03-26: 1574Matheus Nicolau 2022-12-03: 15881588Matt Schnell 2016-12-03: 1485Matt Schnell 2017-04-22: 1470Matt Schnell 2017-10-07: 1488Matt Schnell 2018-06-23: 1505Matt Schnell 2019-03-09: 1521Matt Schnell 2019-08-03: 1537Matt Schnell 2019-12-21: 1521Matt Schnell 2021-01-20: 1537Matt Schnell 2021-05-15: 1537Matt Schnell 2022-05-07: 1520Matt Schnell 2022-07-16: 1536Matt Schnell 2022-12-03: 15221522

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Matheus Nicolau
  • Win
    David DvořákDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Tim ElliottDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Manel KapeDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Dustin OrtizKO/TKO (head kick and punches) · R1 3:49
  • Win
    Louis SmolkaDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Matt Schnell

Tale of the tape

29Age32
167.6 cmHeight172.7 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
6-1-0UFC record6-4-0 (1 NC)
1588Peak Elo1537

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland

Full card »
Stephen Thompson vs. Kevin HollandKO/TKORafael dos Anjos vs. Bryan BarberenaSubmissionSergei Pavlovich vs. Tai TuivasaKO/TKORoman Dolidze vs. Jack HermanssonKO/TKOEryk Anders vs. Kyle DaukausKO/TKOPhilip Rowe vs. Niko PriceKO/TKOAngela Hill vs. Emily DucoteDecisionClay Guida vs. Scott HoltzmanDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland?

Sat, Dec 3, 2022 at Kia Center, Orlando, Florida, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.