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Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tai Tuivasa: UFC on ESPN, Dec 3, 2022

UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Kia Center, Orlando, Florida, U.S.
Sergei Pavlovich4-1-0
SatDec 3KO/TKO · R1Heavyweight
Tai Tuivasa8-4-0
48.3% (Elo 1556)(Elo 1568) 51.7%

Result

Sergei Pavlovich wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 0:54

Pre-fight Elo gave Tai Tuivasa 51.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Sergei Pavlovich 1556, Tai Tuivasa 1568: a 12-point gap.
Common opponents
Derrick Lewis (Pavlovich: Win; Tuivasa: Win).
Form
Sergei Pavlovich won 4 of the last 5, Tai Tuivasa won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Tai Tuivasa 51.7% by Elo.
Sergei Pavlovich48.3%ELO51.7%Tai Tuivasa
1556 · Pre-fight Elo · 1568

Common opponents

OpponentSergei PavlovichTai Tuivasa
Derrick Lewis
WinKO/TKO (punches), Jul 30, 2022
WinKO/TKO (elbow), Feb 12, 2022

Recent form

Sergei Pavlovich · won 4 of last 5Tai Tuivasa · won 4 of last 5
1450150015501600201820192020202120222023Sergei Pavlovich 2018-11-24: 1486Sergei Pavlovich 2019-04-20: 1502Sergei Pavlovich 2019-10-26: 1520Sergei Pavlovich 2022-03-19: 1536Sergei Pavlovich 2022-07-30: 1556Sergei Pavlovich 2022-12-03: 15731573Tai Tuivasa 2017-11-19: 1515Tai Tuivasa 2018-02-11: 1530Tai Tuivasa 2018-06-09: 1549Tai Tuivasa 2018-12-02: 1536Tai Tuivasa 2019-06-08: 1519Tai Tuivasa 2019-10-05: 1501Tai Tuivasa 2020-10-24: 1518Tai Tuivasa 2021-03-20: 1533Tai Tuivasa 2021-07-10: 1549Tai Tuivasa 2021-12-11: 1564Tai Tuivasa 2022-02-12: 1583Tai Tuivasa 2022-09-03: 1568Tai Tuivasa 2022-12-03: 15521552

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Sergei Pavlovich
Tai Tuivasa

Tale of the tape

30Age29
190.5 cmHeight188.0 cm
213.4 cmReach190.5 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
4-1-0UFC record8-4-0
1607Peak Elo1583

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland

Full card »
Stephen Thompson vs. Kevin HollandKO/TKORafael dos Anjos vs. Bryan BarberenaSubmissionMatheus Nicolau vs. Matt SchnellKO/TKORoman Dolidze vs. Jack HermanssonKO/TKOEryk Anders vs. Kyle DaukausKO/TKOPhilip Rowe vs. Niko PriceKO/TKOAngela Hill vs. Emily DucoteDecisionClay Guida vs. Scott HoltzmanDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland?

Sat, Dec 3, 2022 at Kia Center, Orlando, Florida, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.