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Miguel Baeza vs. Matt Brown: UFC on ESPN, May 16, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris · VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, U.S.
Miguel Baeza1-0-0
SatMay 16KO/TKO · R2Welterweight
Matt Brown15-10-0
41.6% (Elo 1515)(Elo 1574) 58.4%

Result

Miguel Baeza wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 2, 0:18

Pre-fight Elo gave Matt Brown 58.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Miguel Baeza 1515, Matt Brown 1574: a 59-point gap.
Form
Miguel Baeza won 1 of the last 1, Matt Brown won 2 of 5. Form favours Miguel Baeza.
Verdict
Matt Brown slightly favoured · Matt Brown 58.4% by Elo. Form favours Miguel Baeza.
Miguel Baeza41.6%ELO58.4%Matt Brown
1515 · Pre-fight Elo · 1574

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Miguel Baeza · won 1 of last 1Matt Brown · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016001650200920112013201520172019Miguel Baeza 2019-10-12: 1515Miguel Baeza 2020-05-16: 15331533Matt Brown 2008-06-21: 1517Matt Brown 2008-09-06: 1501Matt Brown 2008-11-15: 1516Matt Brown 2009-03-07: 1530Matt Brown 2009-11-14: 1545Matt Brown 2010-03-27: 1528Matt Brown 2010-07-03: 1511Matt Brown 2010-11-20: 1494Matt Brown 2011-06-26: 1512Matt Brown 2011-11-19: 1495Matt Brown 2012-02-04: 1512Matt Brown 2012-04-21: 1528Matt Brown 2012-06-22: 1542Matt Brown 2012-12-08: 1560Matt Brown 2013-04-20: 1574Matt Brown 2013-08-17: 1590Matt Brown 2014-05-10: 1603Matt Brown 2014-07-26: 1586Matt Brown 2015-03-14: 1571Matt Brown 2015-07-11: 1586Matt Brown 2016-05-14: 1572Matt Brown 2016-07-30: 1554Matt Brown 2016-12-10: 1544Matt Brown 2017-11-11: 1561Matt Brown 2019-12-14: 1574Matt Brown 2020-05-16: 15551555

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Miguel Baeza
  • Win
    Hector AldanaKO/TKO (leg kicks and elbows) · R2 2:32
Matt Brown

Tale of the tape

27Age39
188.0 cmHeight182.9 cm
188.0 cmReach190.5 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1-0-0UFC record15-10-0
1549Peak Elo1603

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris

Full card »
Alistair Overeem vs. Walt HarrisKO/TKOCláudia Gadelha vs. Angela HillDecisionDan Ige vs. Edson BarbozaDecisionKrzysztof Jotko vs. Eryk AndersDecisionSong Yadong vs. Marlon VeraDecisionKevin Holland vs. Anthony HernandezKO/TKOGiga Chikadze vs. Irwin RiveraDecisionNate Landwehr vs. Darren ElkinsDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris?

Sat, May 16, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.