ENVI
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Roy Nelson vs. Matt Mitrione: The Ultimate Fighter, Dec 15, 2012

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Roy Nelson4-3-0
SatDec 15KO/TKO · R1Heavyweight
Matt Mitrione5-1-0
44.7% (Elo 1520)(Elo 1557) 55.3%

Result

Roy Nelson wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 2:58

Pre-fight Elo gave Matt Mitrione 55.3%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Roy Nelson 1520, Matt Mitrione 1557: a 37-point gap.
Form
Roy Nelson won 2 of the last 5, Matt Mitrione won 4 of 5. Form favours Matt Mitrione.
Verdict
Matt Mitrione slightly favoured · Matt Mitrione 55.3% by Elo.
Roy Nelson44.7%ELO55.3%Matt Mitrione
1520 · Pre-fight Elo · 1557

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Roy Nelson · won 2 of last 5Matt Mitrione · won 4 of last 5
1500155016002010201120122013Roy Nelson 2009-12-05: 1516Roy Nelson 2010-03-31: 1533Roy Nelson 2010-08-07: 1519Roy Nelson 2011-05-28: 1506Roy Nelson 2011-10-29: 1521Roy Nelson 2012-02-04: 1504Roy Nelson 2012-05-26: 1520Roy Nelson 2012-12-15: 15381538Matt Mitrione 2009-12-05: 1516Matt Mitrione 2010-05-08: 1532Matt Mitrione 2010-09-25: 1548Matt Mitrione 2011-01-22: 1560Matt Mitrione 2011-06-26: 1574Matt Mitrione 2011-10-29: 1557Matt Mitrione 2012-12-15: 15391539

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Roy Nelson
Matt Mitrione

Tale of the tape

36Ageno data yet
182.9 cmHeight190.5 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
4-3-0UFC record5-1-0
1556Peak Elo1582

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: FX

Prelims: Fuel TV

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Full card »
Colton Smith vs. Mike RicciDecisionPat Barry vs. Shane del RosarioKO/TKODustin Poirier vs. Jonathan BrookinsSubmissionMike Pyle vs. James HeadKO/TKOJohnny Bedford vs. Marcos ViniciusKO/TKORustam Khabilov vs. Vinc PichelKO/TKOTJ Waldburger vs. Nick CatoneSubmissionHugo Viana vs. Reuben DuranKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale?

Sat, Dec 15, 2012 at Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.