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TJ Waldburger vs. Nick Catone: The Ultimate Fighter, Dec 15, 2012

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
SatDec 15Submission · R2Welterweight
52.6% (Elo 1518)(Elo 1500) 47.4%

Result

TJ Waldburger wins by Submission (triangle choke)

round 2, 1:04

Pre-fight Elo gave TJ Waldburger 52.6%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
TJ Waldburger 1518, Nick Catone 1500: a 18-point gap.
Form
TJ Waldburger won 3 of the last 5, Nick Catone won 2 of 5. Form favours TJ Waldburger.
Verdict
Close fight · TJ Waldburger 52.6% by Elo.
TJ Waldburger52.6%ELO47.4%Nick Catone
1518 · Pre-fight Elo · 1500

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

TJ Waldburger · won 3 of last 5Nick Catone · won 2 of last 5
14501500155020092010201120122013TJ Waldburger 2010-09-15: 1516TJ Waldburger 2011-03-26: 1501TJ Waldburger 2011-09-17: 1517TJ Waldburger 2012-03-03: 1533TJ Waldburger 2012-06-22: 1518TJ Waldburger 2012-12-15: 15331533Nick Catone 2009-02-07: 1516Nick Catone 2009-04-01: 1501Nick Catone 2009-08-29: 1484Nick Catone 2010-01-11: 1500Nick Catone 2011-03-19: 1516Nick Catone 2012-06-22: 1500Nick Catone 2012-12-15: 14851485

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

TJ Waldburger
Nick Catone

Tale of the tape

24Age31
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
190.5 cmReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
3-2-0UFC record3-3-0
1533Peak Elo1516

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: FX

Prelims: Fuel TV

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale?

Sat, Dec 15, 2012 at Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.