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Michael Chiesa vs. Tony Ferguson: UFC on ABC, Aug 3, 2024

UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Michael Chiesa11-7-0
SatAug 3Submission · R1Welterweight
Tony Ferguson15-8-0
50.3% (Elo 1566)(Elo 1564) 49.7%

Result

Michael Chiesa wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 1, 3:44

Pre-fight Elo gave Michael Chiesa 50.3%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Michael Chiesa 1566, Tony Ferguson 1564: a 2-point gap.
Common opponents
Beneil Dariush (Chiesa: Win; Ferguson: Loss). Rafael dos Anjos (Chiesa: Win; Ferguson: Win). Anthony Pettis (Chiesa: Loss; Ferguson: Win).
Form
Michael Chiesa won 2 of the last 5, Tony Ferguson won 0 of 5. Form favours Michael Chiesa.
Verdict
Close fight · Michael Chiesa 50.3% by Elo.
Michael Chiesa50.3%ELO49.7%Tony Ferguson
1566 · Pre-fight Elo · 1564

Common opponents

OpponentMichael ChiesaTony Ferguson
Beneil Dariush
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Apr 16, 2016
LossDecision (unanimous), May 15, 2021
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision (unanimous), Jan 25, 2020
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 5, 2016
Anthony Pettis
LossSubmission (triangle armbar), Jul 7, 2018
WinKO/TKO (corner stoppage), Oct 6, 2018
Kevin Lee
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Jun 25, 2017
WinSubmission (triangle choke), Oct 7, 2017

Recent form

Michael Chiesa · won 2 of last 5Tony Ferguson · won 0 of last 5
150015501600165017002012201420162018202020222024Michael Chiesa 2012-06-01: 1516Michael Chiesa 2013-02-23: 1531Michael Chiesa 2013-07-27: 1515Michael Chiesa 2013-11-06: 1530Michael Chiesa 2014-05-24: 1546Michael Chiesa 2014-09-05: 1530Michael Chiesa 2015-04-04: 1545Michael Chiesa 2015-12-10: 1564Michael Chiesa 2016-04-16: 1581Michael Chiesa 2017-06-25: 1565Michael Chiesa 2018-07-07: 1548Michael Chiesa 2018-12-29: 1562Michael Chiesa 2019-07-06: 1579Michael Chiesa 2020-01-25: 1597Michael Chiesa 2021-01-20: 1615Michael Chiesa 2021-08-07: 1600Michael Chiesa 2021-11-20: 1582Michael Chiesa 2023-07-29: 1566Michael Chiesa 2024-08-03: 15821582Tony Ferguson 2011-06-04: 1516Tony Ferguson 2011-09-24: 1531Tony Ferguson 2011-12-03: 1548Tony Ferguson 2012-05-05: 1530Tony Ferguson 2013-10-19: 1544Tony Ferguson 2014-05-24: 1559Tony Ferguson 2014-08-30: 1575Tony Ferguson 2014-12-06: 1589Tony Ferguson 2015-02-28: 1606Tony Ferguson 2015-07-15: 1617Tony Ferguson 2015-12-11: 1632Tony Ferguson 2016-07-13: 1642Tony Ferguson 2016-11-05: 1658Tony Ferguson 2017-10-07: 1672Tony Ferguson 2018-10-06: 1683Tony Ferguson 2019-06-08: 1698Tony Ferguson 2020-05-09: 1675Tony Ferguson 2020-12-12: 1658Tony Ferguson 2021-05-15: 1641Tony Ferguson 2022-05-07: 1619Tony Ferguson 2022-09-10: 1600Tony Ferguson 2023-07-29: 1581Tony Ferguson 2023-12-16: 1564Tony Ferguson 2024-08-03: 15481548

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Michael Chiesa
Tony Ferguson
  • Loss
    Paddy PimblettDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    King GreenSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R3 4:54
  • Loss
    Nate DiazSubmission (guillotine choke) · R4 2:52
  • Loss
    Michael ChandlerKO/TKO (front kick) · R2 0:17
  • Loss
    Beneil DariushDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

36Age40
185.4 cmHeight182.9 cm
190.5 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceno data yet
11-7-0UFC record15-8-0
1617Peak Elo1698

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ABC / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Full card »
Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Cory SandhagenDecisionSharabutdin Magomedov vs. Michał OleksiejczukDecisionDeiveson Figueiredo vs. Marlon VeraDecisionMackenzie Dern vs. Loopy GodínezDecisionJoel Álvarez vs. Elves BrenerKO/TKOAzamat Murzakanov vs. Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKOKauê Fernandes vs. Mohammad YahyaKO/TKOShamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale MayesDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov?

Sat, Aug 3, 2024 at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.