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Miguel Baeza vs. Takashi Sato: UFC on ESPN, Nov 28, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Miguel Baeza2-0-0
SatNov 28Submission · R2Welterweight
Takashi Sato2-1-0
52.2% (Elo 1533)(Elo 1518) 47.8%

Result

Miguel Baeza wins by Submission (arm-triangle choke)

round 2, 4:28

Pre-fight Elo gave Miguel Baeza 52.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Miguel Baeza 1533, Takashi Sato 1518: a 15-point gap.
Form
Miguel Baeza won 2 of the last 2, Takashi Sato won 2 of 3. Form favours Miguel Baeza.
Verdict
Close fight · Miguel Baeza 52.2% by Elo.
Miguel Baeza52.2%ELO47.8%Takashi Sato
1533 · Pre-fight Elo · 1518

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Miguel Baeza · won 2 of last 2Takashi Sato · won 2 of last 3
15001550201920202021Miguel Baeza 2019-10-12: 1515Miguel Baeza 2020-05-16: 1533Miguel Baeza 2020-11-28: 15491549Takashi Sato 2019-04-27: 1516Takashi Sato 2019-09-07: 1502Takashi Sato 2020-06-27: 1518Takashi Sato 2020-11-28: 15031503

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Miguel Baeza
  • Win
    Matt BrownKO/TKO (punches) · R2 0:18
  • Win
    Hector AldanaKO/TKO (leg kicks and elbows) · R2 2:32
Takashi Sato
  • Win
    Jason WittKO/TKO (punches) · R1 0:48
  • Loss
    Belal MuhammadSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 1:55
  • Win
    Ben SaundersKO/TKO (elbows and punches) · R2 1:18

Tale of the tape

28Age30
188.0 cmHeight186.0 cm
188.0 cmReach185.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
2-0-0UFC record2-1-0
1549Peak Elo1518

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark

Full card »
Anthony Smith vs. Devin ClarkSubmissionParker Porter vs. Josh ParisianDecisionBill Algeo vs. Spike CarlyleDecisionNorma Dumont vs. Ashlee Evans-SmithDecisionJonathan Pearce vs. Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKOAnderson dos Santos vs. Martin DaySubmissionGina Mazany vs. Rachael OstovichKO/TKOSu Mudaerji vs. Malcolm GordonKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark?

Sat, Nov 28, 2020 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.