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Alex Oliveira vs. Peter Sobotta: UFC on ESPN, Jul 26, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Alex Oliveira10-6-0 (1 NC)
SunJul 26Decision · R3Welterweight
Peter Sobotta4-5-0
57.8% (Elo 1553)(Elo 1498) 42.2%

Result

Alex Oliveira wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Alex Oliveira 57.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Alex Oliveira 1553, Peter Sobotta 1498: a 55-point gap.
Common opponents
Nicolas Dalby (Oliveira: Loss; Sobotta: Win).
Form
Alex Oliveira won 2 of the last 5, Peter Sobotta won 3 of 5. Form favours Peter Sobotta.
Verdict
Alex Oliveira slightly favoured · Alex Oliveira 57.8% by Elo. Form favours Peter Sobotta.
Alex Oliveira57.8%ELO42.2%Peter Sobotta
1553 · Pre-fight Elo · 1498

Common opponents

OpponentAlex OliveiraPeter Sobotta
Nicolas Dalby
LossDecision (unanimous), Sep 28, 2019
WinDecision (unanimous), Sep 3, 2016

Recent form

Alex Oliveira · won 2 of last 5Peter Sobotta · won 3 of last 5
1450150015501600201020122014201620182020Alex Oliveira 2015-03-21: 1485Alex Oliveira 2015-05-30: 1503Alex Oliveira 2015-06-27: 1519Alex Oliveira 2015-11-07: 1534Alex Oliveira 2016-02-21: 1523Alex Oliveira 2016-07-23: 1538Alex Oliveira 2016-10-01: 1553Alex Oliveira 2016-12-30: 1553Alex Oliveira 2017-03-11: 1569Alex Oliveira 2017-07-22: 1586Alex Oliveira 2017-12-02: 1567Alex Oliveira 2018-04-14: 1582Alex Oliveira 2018-09-22: 1595Alex Oliveira 2018-12-08: 1577Alex Oliveira 2019-04-27: 1559Alex Oliveira 2019-09-28: 1539Alex Oliveira 2020-03-07: 1553Alex Oliveira 2020-07-26: 15661566Peter Sobotta 2009-06-13: 1483Peter Sobotta 2010-06-12: 1468Peter Sobotta 2010-11-13: 1454Peter Sobotta 2014-05-31: 1472Peter Sobotta 2015-06-20: 1490Peter Sobotta 2015-11-15: 1475Peter Sobotta 2016-09-03: 1493Peter Sobotta 2017-05-28: 1512Peter Sobotta 2018-03-17: 1498Peter Sobotta 2020-07-26: 14851485

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Alex Oliveira
Peter Sobotta
  • Loss
    Leon EdwardsKO/TKO (punches) · R3 4:59
  • Win
    Ben SaundersKO/TKO (punches and knee) · R2 2:29
  • Win
    Nicolas DalbyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Kyle NokeKO/TKO (front kick to the body and punches) · R1 2:01
  • Win
    Steve KennedySubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 2:57

Tale of the tape

32Age33
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
193.0 cmReach190.5 cm
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
10-6-0 (1 NC)UFC record4-5-0
1595Peak Elo1512

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till

Full card »
Robert Whittaker vs. Darren TillDecisionMaurício Rua vs. Antônio Rogério NogueiraDecisionFabrício Werdum vs. Alexander GustafssonSubmissionCarla Esparza vs. Marina RodriguezDecisionPaul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad AntigulovSubmissionKhamzat Chimaev vs. Rhys McKeeKO/TKOFrancisco Trinaldo vs. Jai HerbertKO/TKOJesse Ronson vs. Nicolas DalbyNC

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till?

Sun, Jul 26, 2020 at du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.