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Maurício Rua vs. Antônio Rogério Nogueira: UFC on ESPN, Jul 26, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Maurício Rua10-9-1
SunJul 26Decision · R3Light Heavyweight
Antônio Rogério Nogueira6-6-0
53.8% (Elo 1546)(Elo 1520) 46.2%

Result

Maurício Rua wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Maurício Rua 53.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Maurício Rua 1546, Antônio Rogério Nogueira 1520: a 26-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on Aug 1, 2015: Maurício Rua wins by Decision (unanimous).
Form
Maurício Rua won 3 of the last 5, Antônio Rogério Nogueira won 2 of 5. Form favours Maurício Rua.
Verdict
Close fight · Maurício Rua 53.8% by Elo.
Maurício Rua53.8%ELO46.2%Antônio Rogério Nogueira
1546 · Pre-fight Elo · 1520

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Maurício Rua · won 3 of last 5Antônio Rogério Nogueira · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016002008201020122014201620182020Maurício Rua 2007-09-22: 1486Maurício Rua 2009-01-17: 1505Maurício Rua 2009-04-18: 1526Maurício Rua 2009-10-24: 1514Maurício Rua 2010-05-08: 1535Maurício Rua 2011-03-19: 1521Maurício Rua 2011-08-27: 1540Maurício Rua 2011-11-19: 1525Maurício Rua 2012-08-04: 1542Maurício Rua 2012-12-08: 1528Maurício Rua 2013-08-17: 1512Maurício Rua 2013-12-07: 1530Maurício Rua 2014-03-23: 1514Maurício Rua 2014-11-08: 1499Maurício Rua 2015-08-01: 1517Maurício Rua 2016-05-14: 1535Maurício Rua 2017-03-11: 1550Maurício Rua 2018-07-22: 1533Maurício Rua 2018-12-02: 1548Maurício Rua 2019-11-16: 1546Maurício Rua 2020-07-26: 15611561Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2009-11-21: 1518Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2010-05-29: 1534Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2010-09-25: 1519Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2011-03-26: 1505Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2011-12-10: 1524Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2013-02-02: 1546Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2014-07-26: 1531Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2015-08-01: 1513Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2016-05-14: 1529Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2016-11-19: 1518Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2018-09-22: 1536Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2019-05-11: 1520Antônio Rogério Nogueira 2020-07-26: 15051505

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Maurício Rua
Antônio Rogério Nogueira

Tale of the tape

38Age44
185.4 cmHeight188.0 cm
193.0 cmReach190.5 cm
no data yetStanceSouthpaw
10-9-1UFC record6-6-0
1561Peak Elo1546

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till

Full card »
Robert Whittaker vs. Darren TillDecisionFabrício Werdum vs. Alexander GustafssonSubmissionCarla Esparza vs. Marina RodriguezDecisionPaul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad AntigulovSubmissionAlex Oliveira vs. Peter SobottaDecisionKhamzat Chimaev vs. Rhys McKeeKO/TKOFrancisco Trinaldo vs. Jai HerbertKO/TKOJesse Ronson vs. Nicolas DalbyNC

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till?

Sun, Jul 26, 2020 at du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.