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Carla Esparza vs. Marina Rodriguez: UFC on ESPN, Jul 26, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
SunJul 26Decision · R3Women's Strawweight
52.8% (Elo 1551)(Elo 1532) 47.2%

Result

Carla Esparza wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Carla Esparza 52.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Carla Esparza 1551, Marina Rodriguez 1532: a 19-point gap.
Common opponents
Cynthia Calvillo (Esparza: Win; Rodriguez: Draw). Randa Markos (Esparza: Loss; Rodriguez: Draw).
Form
Carla Esparza won 3 of the last 5, Marina Rodriguez won 2 of 4. Form favours Carla Esparza.
Verdict
Close fight · Carla Esparza 52.8% by Elo.
Carla Esparza52.8%ELO47.2%Marina Rodriguez
1551 · Pre-fight Elo · 1532

Common opponents

OpponentCarla EsparzaMarina Rodriguez
Cynthia Calvillo
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 30, 2017
DrawDraw (majority), Dec 7, 2019
Randa Markos
LossDecision (split), Feb 19, 2017
DrawDraw (majority), Sep 22, 2018

Recent form

Carla Esparza · won 3 of last 5Marina Rodriguez · won 2 of last 4
1450150015501600201520162017201820192020Carla Esparza 2014-12-12: 1516Carla Esparza 2015-03-14: 1501Carla Esparza 2016-04-23: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-02-19: 1500Carla Esparza 2017-06-25: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-12-30: 1535Carla Esparza 2018-06-09: 1518Carla Esparza 2018-09-08: 1503Carla Esparza 2019-04-27: 1519Carla Esparza 2019-09-21: 1535Carla Esparza 2020-05-09: 1551Carla Esparza 2020-07-26: 15661566Marina Rodriguez 2018-09-22: 1499Marina Rodriguez 2019-03-30: 1514Marina Rodriguez 2019-08-10: 1531Marina Rodriguez 2019-12-07: 1532Marina Rodriguez 2020-07-26: 15171517

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Carla Esparza
Marina Rodriguez

Tale of the tape

32Age33
154.9 cmHeight170.2 cm
no data yetReach165.1 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
7-4-0UFC record2-0-2
1600Peak Elo1584

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till?

Sun, Jul 26, 2020 at du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.