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Alexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon Royval: UFC 296, Dec 16, 2023

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
SatDec 16Decision · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
57.2% (Elo 1603)(Elo 1553) 42.8%

Result

Alexandre Pantoja wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Alexandre Pantoja 57.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Alexandre Pantoja 1603, Brandon Royval 1553: a 50-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on Aug 21, 2021: Alexandre Pantoja wins by Submission (rear-naked choke).
Common opponents
Brandon Moreno (Pantoja: Win ×2; Royval: Loss). Matt Schnell (Pantoja: Win; Royval: Win).
Form
Alexandre Pantoja won 4 of the last 5, Brandon Royval won 3 of 5. Form favours Alexandre Pantoja.
Verdict
Alexandre Pantoja slightly favoured · Alexandre Pantoja 57.2% by Elo.
Alexandre Pantoja57.2%ELO42.8%Brandon Royval
1603 · Pre-fight Elo · 1553

Common opponents

OpponentAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Brandon Moreno
WinDecision (unanimous), May 19, 2018
WinDecision (split), Jul 8, 2023
LossKO/TKO (punches), Nov 21, 2020
Matt Schnell
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 21, 2019
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), May 7, 2022

Recent form

Alexandre Pantoja · won 4 of last 5Brandon Royval · won 3 of last 5
150015501600165020172018201920202021202220232024Alexandre Pantoja 2017-01-28: 1516Alexandre Pantoja 2017-07-16: 1531Alexandre Pantoja 2018-01-20: 1515Alexandre Pantoja 2018-05-19: 1532Alexandre Pantoja 2018-11-17: 1546Alexandre Pantoja 2019-04-13: 1562Alexandre Pantoja 2019-07-27: 1545Alexandre Pantoja 2019-12-21: 1561Alexandre Pantoja 2020-07-19: 1543Alexandre Pantoja 2021-02-06: 1557Alexandre Pantoja 2021-08-21: 1571Alexandre Pantoja 2022-07-30: 1587Alexandre Pantoja 2023-07-08: 1603Alexandre Pantoja 2023-12-16: 16171617Brandon Royval 2020-05-30: 1514Brandon Royval 2020-09-27: 1531Brandon Royval 2020-11-21: 1516Brandon Royval 2021-08-21: 1502Brandon Royval 2022-01-15: 1518Brandon Royval 2022-05-07: 1535Brandon Royval 2023-04-15: 1553Brandon Royval 2023-12-16: 15401540

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Alexandre Pantoja
Brandon Royval

Tale of the tape

33Age31
165.1 cmHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReach172.7 cm
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
10-3-0UFC record5-2-0
1653Peak Elo1575

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington?

Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 296 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.