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Paddy Pimblett vs. Tony Ferguson: UFC 296, Dec 16, 2023

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Paddy Pimblett4-0-0
SatDec 16Decision · R3Lightweight
Tony Ferguson15-7-0
47.4% (Elo 1562)(Elo 1581) 52.6%

Result

Paddy Pimblett wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Tony Ferguson 52.6%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Paddy Pimblett 1562, Tony Ferguson 1581: a 19-point gap.
Form
Paddy Pimblett won 4 of the last 4, Tony Ferguson won 0 of 5. Form favours Paddy Pimblett.
Verdict
Close fight · Tony Ferguson 52.6% by Elo. Form favours Paddy Pimblett.
Paddy Pimblett47.4%ELO52.6%Tony Ferguson
1562 · Pre-fight Elo · 1581

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Paddy Pimblett · won 4 of last 4Tony Ferguson · won 0 of last 5
150015501600165017002012201420162018202020222024Paddy Pimblett 2021-09-04: 1515Paddy Pimblett 2022-03-19: 1530Paddy Pimblett 2022-07-23: 1546Paddy Pimblett 2022-12-10: 1562Paddy Pimblett 2023-12-16: 15791579Tony Ferguson 2011-06-04: 1516Tony Ferguson 2011-09-24: 1531Tony Ferguson 2011-12-03: 1548Tony Ferguson 2012-05-05: 1530Tony Ferguson 2013-10-19: 1544Tony Ferguson 2014-05-24: 1559Tony Ferguson 2014-08-30: 1575Tony Ferguson 2014-12-06: 1589Tony Ferguson 2015-02-28: 1606Tony Ferguson 2015-07-15: 1617Tony Ferguson 2015-12-11: 1632Tony Ferguson 2016-07-13: 1642Tony Ferguson 2016-11-05: 1658Tony Ferguson 2017-10-07: 1672Tony Ferguson 2018-10-06: 1683Tony Ferguson 2019-06-08: 1698Tony Ferguson 2020-05-09: 1675Tony Ferguson 2020-12-12: 1658Tony Ferguson 2021-05-15: 1641Tony Ferguson 2022-05-07: 1619Tony Ferguson 2022-09-10: 1600Tony Ferguson 2023-07-29: 1581Tony Ferguson 2023-12-16: 15641564

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Paddy Pimblett
Tony Ferguson

Tale of the tape

28Age39
177.8 cmHeight182.9 cm
185.4 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
4-0-0UFC record15-7-0
1607Peak Elo1698

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

Full card »
Leon Edwards vs. Colby CovingtonDecisionAlexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon RoyvalDecisionShavkat Rakhmonov vs. Stephen ThompsonSubmissionJosh Emmett vs. Bryce MitchellKO/TKOAlonzo Menifield vs. Dustin JacobyDecisionIrene Aldana vs. Karol RosaDecisionCody Garbrandt vs. Brian KelleherKO/TKOAriane da Silva vs. Casey O'NeillSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington?

Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 296 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.