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Leon Edwards vs. Colby Covington: UFC 296, Dec 16, 2023

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Leon Edwards (c)13-2-0 (1 NC)
SatDec 16Decision · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
Colby Covington12-3-0
55.2% (Elo 1681)(Elo 1644) 44.8%

Result

Leon Edwards wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Leon Edwards 55.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Leon Edwards 1681, Colby Covington 1644: a 37-point gap.
Common opponents
Kamaru Usman (Edwards: Loss, Win ×2; Covington: Loss ×2). Rafael dos Anjos (Edwards: Win; Covington: Win). Bryan Barberena (Edwards: Win; Covington: Win).
Form
Leon Edwards won 4 of the last 5, Colby Covington won 3 of 5. Form favours Leon Edwards.
Verdict
Leon Edwards slightly favoured · Leon Edwards 55.2% by Elo.
Leon Edwards55.2%ELO44.8%Colby Covington
1681 · Pre-fight Elo · 1644

Common opponents

OpponentLeon EdwardsColby Covington
Kamaru Usman
LossDecision (unanimous), Dec 19, 2015
WinKO/TKO (head kick), Aug 20, 2022
WinDecision (majority), Mar 18, 2023
LossKO/TKO (punches), Dec 14, 2019
LossDecision (unanimous), Nov 6, 2021
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 20, 2019
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 9, 2018
Bryan Barberena
WinDecision (unanimous), Sep 2, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 17, 2016

Recent form

Leon Edwards · won 4 of last 5Colby Covington · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016001650170020152017201920212023Leon Edwards 2014-11-08: 1485Leon Edwards 2015-04-11: 1501Leon Edwards 2015-07-18: 1517Leon Edwards 2015-12-19: 1501Leon Edwards 2016-05-08: 1516Leon Edwards 2016-10-08: 1533Leon Edwards 2017-03-18: 1550Leon Edwards 2017-09-02: 1565Leon Edwards 2018-03-17: 1579Leon Edwards 2018-06-23: 1598Leon Edwards 2019-03-16: 1613Leon Edwards 2019-07-20: 1630Leon Edwards 2021-03-13: 1630Leon Edwards 2021-06-12: 1644Leon Edwards 2022-08-20: 1663Leon Edwards 2023-03-18: 1681Leon Edwards 2023-12-16: 16951695Colby Covington 2014-08-23: 1516Colby Covington 2014-11-08: 1531Colby Covington 2015-05-23: 1548Colby Covington 2015-12-12: 1532Colby Covington 2016-06-18: 1546Colby Covington 2016-08-20: 1560Colby Covington 2016-12-17: 1575Colby Covington 2017-06-17: 1594Colby Covington 2017-10-28: 1612Colby Covington 2018-06-09: 1630Colby Covington 2019-08-03: 1645Colby Covington 2019-12-14: 1629Colby Covington 2020-09-19: 1644Colby Covington 2021-11-06: 1631Colby Covington 2022-03-05: 1644Colby Covington 2023-12-16: 16301630

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Leon Edwards
Colby Covington

Tale of the tape

32Age35
no data yetHeight180.3 cm
no data yetReach182.9 cm
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
13-2-0 (1 NC)UFC record12-3-0
1695Peak Elo1645

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

Full card »
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon RoyvalDecisionShavkat Rakhmonov vs. Stephen ThompsonSubmissionPaddy Pimblett vs. Tony FergusonDecisionJosh Emmett vs. Bryce MitchellKO/TKOAlonzo Menifield vs. Dustin JacobyDecisionIrene Aldana vs. Karol RosaDecisionCody Garbrandt vs. Brian KelleherKO/TKOAriane da Silva vs. Casey O'NeillSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington?

Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 296 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.