Jan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov: UFC 323, Dec 6, 2025

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Jan Błachowicz12-8-1

SatDec 6Draw · R3Light Heavyweight

Bogdan Guskov4-1-0

54.6% (Elo 1583)

(Elo 1551) 45.4%

Result

Draw (Draw (majority))

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Jan Błachowicz 54.6%: 50/50, not scored

Elo prediction

Elo: Jan Błachowicz 1583, Bogdan Guskov 1551: a 32-point gap.
Common opponents: Nikita Krylov (Błachowicz: Win; Guskov: Win).
Form: Jan Błachowicz won 1 of the last 5, Bogdan Guskov won 4 of 5. Form favours Bogdan Guskov.
Verdict: Close fight · Jan Błachowicz 54.6% by Elo. Form favours Bogdan Guskov.

Jan Błachowicz54.6%ELO45.4%Bogdan Guskov

1583 · Pre-fight Elo · 1551

Common opponents

Opponent	Jan Błachowicz	Bogdan Guskov
Nikita Krylov	WinSubmission (arm-triangle choke), Sep 15, 2018	WinKO/TKO (punches), Jul 26, 2025

Recent form

Jan Błachowicz · won 1 of last 5Bogdan Guskov · won 4 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Jan Błachowicz

Loss
Carlos UlbergDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Mar 22, 2025
Loss
Alex PereiraDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Jul 29, 2023
Draw
Magomed AnkalaevDraw (split) · R5 5:00
Dec 10, 2022
Win
Aleksandar RakićKO/TKO (knee injury) · R3 1:11
May 14, 2022
Loss
Glover TeixeiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 3:02
Oct 30, 2021

Bogdan Guskov

Win
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:18
Jul 26, 2025
Win
Billy ElekanaSubmission (guillotine choke) · R2 3:33
Jan 18, 2025
Win
Ryan SpannKO/TKO (punches) · R2 3:16
Apr 27, 2024
Win
Zac PaugaKO/TKO (punches) · R1 3:38
Feb 10, 2024
Loss
Volkan OezdemirSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:46
Sep 2, 2023

Tale of the tape

42Age33

188.0 cmHeight190.5 cm

198.1 cmReach193.0 cm

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

12-8-1UFC record4-1-0

1617Peak Elo1552

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Early prelims: ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Full card »

Petr Yan vs. Merab DvalishviliDecision Joshua Van vs. Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO Tatsuro Taira vs. Brandon MorenoKO/TKO Payton Talbott vs. Henry CejudoDecision Manuel Torres vs. Grant DawsonKO/TKO Chris Duncan vs. Terrance McKinneySubmission Maycee Barber vs. Karine SilvaDecision Farès Ziam vs. Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2?

Sat, Dec 6, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 323 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.