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Chris Duncan vs. Terrance McKinney: UFC 323, Dec 6, 2025

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Chris Duncan5-1-0
SatDec 6Submission · R1Lightweight
Terrance McKinney7-4-0
53.1% (Elo 1562)(Elo 1540) 46.9%

Result

Chris Duncan wins by Submission (anaconda choke)

round 1, 2:30

Pre-fight Elo gave Chris Duncan 53.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Chris Duncan 1562, Terrance McKinney 1540: a 22-point gap.
Form
Chris Duncan won 4 of the last 5, Terrance McKinney won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Chris Duncan 53.1% by Elo.
Chris Duncan53.1%ELO46.9%Terrance McKinney
1562 · Pre-fight Elo · 1540

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Chris Duncan · won 4 of last 5Terrance McKinney · won 4 of last 5
145015001550160020222023202420252026Chris Duncan 2023-03-18: 1516Chris Duncan 2023-07-22: 1532Chris Duncan 2024-02-24: 1516Chris Duncan 2024-09-28: 1532Chris Duncan 2025-03-22: 1546Chris Duncan 2025-08-02: 1562Chris Duncan 2025-12-06: 15771577Terrance McKinney 2021-06-12: 1516Terrance McKinney 2022-02-26: 1532Terrance McKinney 2022-03-12: 1516Terrance McKinney 2022-08-06: 1531Terrance McKinney 2023-01-21: 1514Terrance McKinney 2023-07-15: 1498Terrance McKinney 2023-08-12: 1512Terrance McKinney 2023-10-14: 1528Terrance McKinney 2024-05-11: 1511Terrance McKinney 2025-02-01: 1526Terrance McKinney 2025-06-28: 1540Terrance McKinney 2025-12-06: 15251525

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Chris Duncan
Terrance McKinney

Tale of the tape

32Age31
177.8 cmHeight177.8 cm
181.6 cmReach185.4 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
5-1-0UFC record7-4-0
1577Peak Elo1540

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Early prelims: ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Full card »
Petr Yan vs. Merab DvalishviliDecisionJoshua Van vs. Alexandre PantojaKO/TKOTatsuro Taira vs. Brandon MorenoKO/TKOPayton Talbott vs. Henry CejudoDecisionJan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan GuskovDrawManuel Torres vs. Grant DawsonKO/TKOMaycee Barber vs. Karine SilvaDecisionFarès Ziam vs. Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2?

Sat, Dec 6, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 323 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.