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Gunnar Nelson vs. Bryan Barberena: UFC 286, Mar 18, 2023

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · The O2 Arena, London, England
Gunnar Nelson9-5-0
SatMar 18Submission · R1Welterweight
Bryan Barberena9-7-0
53.1% (Elo 1563)(Elo 1541) 46.9%

Result

Gunnar Nelson wins by Submission (armbar)

round 1, 4:51

Pre-fight Elo gave Gunnar Nelson 53.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Gunnar Nelson 1563, Bryan Barberena 1541: a 22-point gap.
Common opponents
Leon Edwards (Nelson: Loss; Barberena: Loss).
Form
Gunnar Nelson won 2 of the last 5, Bryan Barberena won 3 of 5. Form favours Bryan Barberena.
Verdict
Close fight · Gunnar Nelson 53.1% by Elo. Form favours Bryan Barberena.
Gunnar Nelson53.1%ELO46.9%Bryan Barberena
1563 · Pre-fight Elo · 1541

Common opponents

OpponentGunnar NelsonBryan Barberena
Leon Edwards
LossDecision (split), Mar 16, 2019
LossDecision (unanimous), Sep 2, 2017

Recent form

Gunnar Nelson · won 2 of last 5Bryan Barberena · won 3 of last 5
150015501600201320152017201920212023Gunnar Nelson 2012-09-29: 1516Gunnar Nelson 2013-02-16: 1529Gunnar Nelson 2014-03-08: 1544Gunnar Nelson 2014-07-19: 1560Gunnar Nelson 2014-10-04: 1544Gunnar Nelson 2015-07-11: 1559Gunnar Nelson 2015-12-12: 1545Gunnar Nelson 2016-05-08: 1562Gunnar Nelson 2017-03-18: 1578Gunnar Nelson 2017-07-16: 1562Gunnar Nelson 2018-12-08: 1579Gunnar Nelson 2019-03-16: 1564Gunnar Nelson 2019-09-28: 1549Gunnar Nelson 2022-03-19: 1563Gunnar Nelson 2023-03-18: 15781578Bryan Barberena 2014-12-13: 1517Bryan Barberena 2015-04-25: 1501Bryan Barberena 2016-01-30: 1519Bryan Barberena 2016-05-14: 1537Bryan Barberena 2016-12-17: 1522Bryan Barberena 2017-04-22: 1537Bryan Barberena 2017-09-02: 1522Bryan Barberena 2018-08-25: 1537Bryan Barberena 2019-02-17: 1523Bryan Barberena 2019-06-22: 1506Bryan Barberena 2020-09-12: 1521Bryan Barberena 2021-07-31: 1504Bryan Barberena 2021-12-04: 1519Bryan Barberena 2022-03-26: 1537Bryan Barberena 2022-07-02: 1555Bryan Barberena 2022-12-03: 1541Bryan Barberena 2023-03-18: 15261526

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Gunnar Nelson
Bryan Barberena

Tale of the tape

34Age33
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
182.9 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
9-5-0UFC record9-7-0
1579Peak Elo1555

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Full card »
Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru UsmanDecisionJustin Gaethje vs. Rafael FizievDecisionJennifer Maia vs. Casey O'NeillDecisionMarvin Vettori vs. Roman DolidzeDecisionJack Shore vs. Makwan AmirkhaniSubmissionChris Duncan vs. Omar MoralesDecisionYanal Ashmouz vs. Sam PattersonKO/TKOMuhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel FilhoSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3?

Sat, Mar 18, 2023 at The O2 Arena, London, England.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 286 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.