ENVI
UFCBoxing soon

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev: UFC 286, Mar 18, 2023

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · The O2 Arena, London, England
Justin Gaethje6-4-0
SatMar 18Decision · R3Lightweight
Rafael Fiziev6-1-0
47.3% (Elo 1568)(Elo 1587) 52.7%

Result

Justin Gaethje wins by Decision (majority)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Fiziev 52.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Justin Gaethje 1568, Rafael Fiziev 1587: a 19-point gap.
Form
Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Rafael Fiziev won 5 of 5. Form favours Rafael Fiziev.
Verdict
Close fight · Rafael Fiziev 52.7% by Elo.
Justin Gaethje47.3%ELO52.7%Rafael Fiziev
1568 · Pre-fight Elo · 1587

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Rafael Fiziev · won 5 of last 5
1450150015501600201820192020202120222023Justin Gaethje 2017-07-07: 1518Justin Gaethje 2017-12-02: 1503Justin Gaethje 2018-04-14: 1493Justin Gaethje 2018-08-25: 1514Justin Gaethje 2019-03-30: 1534Justin Gaethje 2019-09-14: 1555Justin Gaethje 2020-05-09: 1578Justin Gaethje 2020-10-24: 1566Justin Gaethje 2021-11-06: 1580Justin Gaethje 2022-05-07: 1568Justin Gaethje 2023-03-18: 15851585Rafael Fiziev 2019-04-20: 1485Rafael Fiziev 2019-10-26: 1501Rafael Fiziev 2020-07-19: 1518Rafael Fiziev 2020-12-12: 1536Rafael Fiziev 2021-08-07: 1552Rafael Fiziev 2021-12-04: 1568Rafael Fiziev 2022-07-09: 1587Rafael Fiziev 2023-03-18: 15701570

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Justin Gaethje
Rafael Fiziev

Tale of the tape

34Age30
180.3 cmHeight172.7 cm
177.8 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
6-4-0UFC record6-1-0
1641Peak Elo1587

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Full card »
Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru UsmanDecisionGunnar Nelson vs. Bryan BarberenaSubmissionJennifer Maia vs. Casey O'NeillDecisionMarvin Vettori vs. Roman DolidzeDecisionJack Shore vs. Makwan AmirkhaniSubmissionChris Duncan vs. Omar MoralesDecisionYanal Ashmouz vs. Sam PattersonKO/TKOMuhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel FilhoSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3?

Sat, Mar 18, 2023 at The O2 Arena, London, England.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 286 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.