Result
Max Holloway wins by KO/TKO (knee injury)
round 1, 1:09
Pre-fight Elo gave Max Holloway 60.4%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Max Holloway 1676, Conor McGregor 1602: a 74-point gap.
- Head-to-head
- They have met once; most recently on Aug 17, 2013: Conor McGregor wins by Decision (unanimous).
- Common opponents
- Dustin Poirier (Holloway: Loss ×2, Win; McGregor: Win, Loss ×2). José Aldo (Holloway: Win ×2; McGregor: Win).
- Form
- Max Holloway won 3 of the last 5, Conor McGregor won 2 of 5. Form favours Max Holloway.
- Verdict
- Max Holloway slightly favoured · Max Holloway 60.4% by Elo.
Common opponents
| Opponent | Max Holloway | Conor McGregor |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | LossSubmission (triangle armbar), Feb 4, 2012 LossDecision (unanimous), Apr 13, 2019 WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 19, 2025 | WinKO/TKO (punches), Sep 27, 2014 LossKO/TKO (punches), Jan 24, 2021 LossKO/TKO (doctor stoppage), Jul 10, 2021 |
| José Aldo | WinKO/TKO (punches), Jun 3, 2017 WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 2, 2017 | WinKO/TKO (punch), Dec 12, 2015 |
Recent form
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
- LossCharles OliveiraDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinDustin PoirierDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- LossIlia TopuriaKO/TKO (punches) · R3 1:34
- WinJustin GaethjeKO/TKO (punch) · R5 4:59
- WinJung Chan-sungKO/TKO (punch) · R3 0:23
- LossDustin PoirierKO/TKO (doctor stoppage) · R1 5:00
- LossDustin PoirierKO/TKO (punches) · R2 2:32
- WinDonald CerroneKO/TKO (head kick and punches) · R1 0:40
- LossKhabib NurmagomedovSubmission (neck crank) · R4 3:03
- WinEddie AlvarezKO/TKO (punches) · R2 3:04
Tale of the tape
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+ / CBS
Prelims: Paramount+ / CBS
Early prelims: Paramount+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2?
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 at |T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 329 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.