UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · |T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
51.3% (Elo 1617)
(Elo 1608) 48.7%
Result
Mario Bautista wins by Decision (unanimous)
round 3, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Mario Bautista 51.3%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Mario Bautista 1617, Cory Sandhagen 1608: a 9-point gap.
- Head-to-head
- They have met once; most recently on Jan 19, 2019: Cory Sandhagen wins by Submission (armbar).
- Common opponents
- Umar Nurmagomedov (Bautista: Loss; Sandhagen: Loss).
- Form
- Mario Bautista won 4 of the last 5, Cory Sandhagen won 3 of 5. Form favours Mario Bautista.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Mario Bautista 51.3% by Elo.
Mario Bautista51.3%ELO48.7%Cory Sandhagen
1617 · Pre-fight Elo · 1608
Common opponents
| Opponent | Mario Bautista | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Umar Nurmagomedov | LossDecision (unanimous), Oct 25, 2025 | LossDecision (unanimous), Aug 3, 2024 |
Recent form
Mario Bautista · won 4 of last 5Cory Sandhagen · won 3 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Mario Bautista
- WinVinicius OliveiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 4:46
- LossUmar NurmagomedovDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinPatchy MixDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinJosé AldoDecision (split) · R3 5:00
- WinRicky SimónDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Cory Sandhagen
- LossMerab DvalishviliDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinDeiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO (knee injury) · R2 4:08
- LossUmar NurmagomedovDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinRob FontDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinMarlon VeraDecision (split) · R5 5:00
Tale of the tape
33Age34
175.3 cmHeight180.3 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
11-3-0UFC record11-5-0
1633Peak Elo1623
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+ / CBS
Prelims: Paramount+ / CBS
Early prelims: Paramount+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Full card »Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregorKO/TKOPaddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint DenisSubmissionBrandon Royval vs. Lone'er KavanaghSubmissionKing Green vs. Terrance McKinneyKO/TKORobert Whittaker vs. Nikita KrylovKO/TKOGable Steveson vs. Elisha EllisonKO/TKOAdrian Yañez vs. Cody GarbrandtKO/TKOLuke Riley vs. Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKO
FAQ
When and where is UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2?
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 at |T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 329 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.