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Lyoto Machida vs. Dan Henderson: UFC 157, Feb 23, 2013

UFC 157: Rousey vs. Carmouche · Honda Center, Anaheim, California, U.S.
Lyoto Machida10-3-0
SatFeb 23Decision · R3Light Heavyweight
Dan Henderson6-2-0
54.1% (Elo 1603)(Elo 1574) 45.9%

Result

Lyoto Machida wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Lyoto Machida 54.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Lyoto Machida 1603, Dan Henderson 1574: a 29-point gap.
Common opponents
Maurício Rua (Machida: Win, Loss; Henderson: Win). Quinton Jackson (Machida: Loss; Henderson: Loss).
Form
Lyoto Machida won 2 of the last 5, Dan Henderson won 4 of 5. Form favours Dan Henderson.
Verdict
Close fight · Lyoto Machida 54.1% by Elo. Form favours Dan Henderson.
Lyoto Machida54.1%ELO45.9%Dan Henderson
1603 · Pre-fight Elo · 1574

Common opponents

OpponentLyoto MachidaDan Henderson
Maurício Rua
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 24, 2009
LossKO/TKO (punches), May 8, 2010
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 19, 2011
Quinton Jackson
LossDecision (split), Nov 20, 2010
LossDecision (unanimous), Sep 8, 2007

Recent form

Lyoto Machida · won 2 of last 5Dan Henderson · won 4 of last 5
150015501600165019992001200320052007200920112013Lyoto Machida 2007-02-03: 1516Lyoto Machida 2007-04-21: 1533Lyoto Machida 2007-09-22: 1547Lyoto Machida 2007-12-29: 1561Lyoto Machida 2008-05-24: 1580Lyoto Machida 2009-01-31: 1595Lyoto Machida 2009-05-23: 1612Lyoto Machida 2009-10-24: 1625Lyoto Machida 2010-05-08: 1604Lyoto Machida 2010-11-20: 1585Lyoto Machida 2011-04-30: 1603Lyoto Machida 2011-12-10: 1587Lyoto Machida 2012-08-04: 1603Lyoto Machida 2013-02-23: 16171617Dan Henderson 1998-05-15: 1516Dan Henderson 1998-05-15: 1532Dan Henderson 2007-09-08: 1516Dan Henderson 2008-03-01: 1504Dan Henderson 2008-09-06: 1520Dan Henderson 2009-01-17: 1541Dan Henderson 2009-07-11: 1559Dan Henderson 2011-11-19: 1574Dan Henderson 2013-02-23: 15591559

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Lyoto Machida
Dan Henderson

Tale of the tape

34Age42
185.4 cmHeight185.4 cm
188.0 cmReach188.0 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
10-3-0UFC record6-2-0
1627Peak Elo1574

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: FX

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 157: Rousey vs. Carmouche

Full card »
Ronda Rousey vs. Liz CarmoucheSubmissionUrijah Faber vs. Ivan MenjivarSubmissionCourt McGee vs. Josh NeerDecisionRobbie Lawler vs. Josh KoscheckKO/TKOBrendan Schaub vs. Lavar JohnsonDecisionMichael Chiesa vs. Anton KuivanenSubmissionDennis Bermudez vs. Matt GriceDecisionSam Stout vs. Caros FodorDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 157: Rousey vs. Carmouche?

Sat, Feb 23, 2013 at Honda Center, Anaheim, California, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 157 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.