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Demian Maia vs. Matt Brown: UFC 198, May 14, 2016

UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic · Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Brazil
Demian Maia16-6-0
SatMay 14Submission · R3Welterweight
Matt Brown13-7-0
56.9% (Elo 1634)(Elo 1586) 43.1%

Result

Demian Maia wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 3, 4:31

Pre-fight Elo gave Demian Maia 56.9%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Demian Maia 1634, Matt Brown 1586: a 48-point gap.
Common opponents
Dong Hyun Kim (Maia: Win; Brown: Loss).
Form
Demian Maia won 4 of the last 5, Matt Brown won 3 of 5. Form favours Demian Maia.
Verdict
Demian Maia slightly favoured · Demian Maia 56.9% by Elo.
Demian Maia56.9%ELO43.1%Matt Brown
1634 · Pre-fight Elo · 1586

Common opponents

OpponentDemian MaiaMatt Brown
Dong Hyun Kim
WinKO/TKO (rib injury), Jul 7, 2012
LossDecision (split), Sep 6, 2008

Recent form

Demian Maia · won 4 of last 5Matt Brown · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016001650200820092010201120122013201420152016Demian Maia 2007-10-20: 1515Demian Maia 2008-04-19: 1531Demian Maia 2008-08-09: 1547Demian Maia 2008-11-15: 1564Demian Maia 2009-02-21: 1577Demian Maia 2009-08-29: 1561Demian Maia 2010-02-06: 1575Demian Maia 2010-04-10: 1562Demian Maia 2010-08-28: 1576Demian Maia 2010-12-04: 1590Demian Maia 2011-06-11: 1572Demian Maia 2011-10-08: 1584Demian Maia 2012-01-28: 1566Demian Maia 2012-07-07: 1582Demian Maia 2012-10-13: 1597Demian Maia 2013-02-02: 1616Demian Maia 2013-10-09: 1596Demian Maia 2014-02-22: 1579Demian Maia 2014-05-31: 1591Demian Maia 2015-03-21: 1606Demian Maia 2015-08-01: 1621Demian Maia 2015-12-12: 1634Demian Maia 2016-05-14: 16481648Matt Brown 2008-06-21: 1517Matt Brown 2008-09-06: 1501Matt Brown 2008-11-15: 1516Matt Brown 2009-03-07: 1530Matt Brown 2009-11-14: 1545Matt Brown 2010-03-27: 1528Matt Brown 2010-07-03: 1511Matt Brown 2010-11-20: 1494Matt Brown 2011-06-26: 1512Matt Brown 2011-11-19: 1495Matt Brown 2012-02-04: 1512Matt Brown 2012-04-21: 1528Matt Brown 2012-06-22: 1542Matt Brown 2012-12-08: 1560Matt Brown 2013-04-20: 1574Matt Brown 2013-08-17: 1590Matt Brown 2014-05-10: 1603Matt Brown 2014-07-26: 1586Matt Brown 2015-03-14: 1571Matt Brown 2015-07-11: 1586Matt Brown 2016-05-14: 15721572

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Demian Maia
Matt Brown
  • Win
    Tim MeansSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:44
  • Loss
    Johny HendricksDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Robbie LawlerDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
  • Win
    Erick SilvaKO/TKO (punches) · R3 2:11
  • Win
    Mike PyleKO/TKO (punches) · R1 0:29

Tale of the tape

38Age35
182.9 cmHeight182.9 cm
182.9 cmReach190.5 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
16-6-0UFC record13-7-0
1672Peak Elo1603

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic

Full card »
Stipe Miocic vs. Fabrício WerdumKO/TKORonaldo Souza vs. Vitor BelfortKO/TKOCris Cyborg vs. Leslie SmithKO/TKOMaurício Rua vs. Corey AndersonDecisionBryan Barberena vs. Warlley AlvesDecisionThiago Santos vs. Nate MarquardtKO/TKOFrancisco Trinaldo vs. Yancy MedeirosDecisionJohn Lineker vs. Rob FontDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic?

Sat, May 14, 2016 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Brazil.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 198 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.