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Justin Gaethje vs. Donald Cerrone: UFC Fight Night, Sep 14, 2019

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Justin Gaethje3-2-0
SatSep 14KO/TKO · R1Lightweight
Donald Cerrone23-9-0
34.0% (Elo 1534)(Elo 1650) 66.0%

Result

Justin Gaethje wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 4:18

Pre-fight Elo gave Donald Cerrone 66.0%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Justin Gaethje 1534, Donald Cerrone 1650: a 116-point gap.
Common opponents
Edson Barboza (Gaethje: Win; Cerrone: Win). Eddie Alvarez (Gaethje: Loss; Cerrone: Win).
Form
Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Donald Cerrone won 3 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Donald Cerrone clear favourite · Donald Cerrone 66.0% by Elo.
Justin Gaethje34.0%ELO66.0%Donald Cerrone
1534 · Pre-fight Elo · 1650

Common opponents

OpponentJustin GaethjeDonald Cerrone
Edson Barboza
WinKO/TKO (punch), Mar 30, 2019
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Apr 19, 2014
Eddie Alvarez
LossKO/TKO (knee), Dec 2, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Sep 27, 2014

Recent form

Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Donald Cerrone · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016001650170020112013201520172019Justin Gaethje 2017-07-07: 1518Justin Gaethje 2017-12-02: 1503Justin Gaethje 2018-04-14: 1493Justin Gaethje 2018-08-25: 1514Justin Gaethje 2019-03-30: 1534Justin Gaethje 2019-09-14: 15551555Donald Cerrone 2011-02-05: 1517Donald Cerrone 2011-06-11: 1533Donald Cerrone 2011-08-14: 1548Donald Cerrone 2011-10-29: 1565Donald Cerrone 2011-12-30: 1548Donald Cerrone 2012-05-15: 1563Donald Cerrone 2012-08-11: 1579Donald Cerrone 2013-01-26: 1561Donald Cerrone 2013-05-25: 1574Donald Cerrone 2013-08-28: 1558Donald Cerrone 2013-11-16: 1574Donald Cerrone 2014-01-25: 1587Donald Cerrone 2014-04-19: 1603Donald Cerrone 2014-07-16: 1620Donald Cerrone 2014-09-27: 1631Donald Cerrone 2015-01-03: 1645Donald Cerrone 2015-01-18: 1659Donald Cerrone 2015-05-23: 1670Donald Cerrone 2015-12-19: 1652Donald Cerrone 2016-02-21: 1663Donald Cerrone 2016-06-18: 1674Donald Cerrone 2016-08-20: 1686Donald Cerrone 2016-12-10: 1696Donald Cerrone 2017-01-28: 1674Donald Cerrone 2017-07-29: 1656Donald Cerrone 2017-10-21: 1635Donald Cerrone 2018-02-18: 1647Donald Cerrone 2018-06-23: 1628Donald Cerrone 2018-11-10: 1640Donald Cerrone 2019-01-19: 1651Donald Cerrone 2019-05-04: 1665Donald Cerrone 2019-06-08: 1650Donald Cerrone 2019-09-14: 16281628

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Justin Gaethje
Donald Cerrone

Tale of the tape

30Age36
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
177.8 cmReach185.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
3-2-0UFC record23-9-0
1641Peak Elo1696

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje

Full card »
Glover Teixeira vs. Nikita KrylovDecisionTodd Duffee vs. Jeff HughesNCTristan Connelly vs. Michel PereiraDecisionUriah Hall vs. Antônio Carlos JúniorDecisionMisha Cirkunov vs. Jimmy CruteSubmissionAugusto Sakai vs. Marcin TyburaKO/TKOMiles Johns vs. Cole SmithDecisionHunter Azure vs. Brad KatonaDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje?

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 at Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.