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Josh Neer vs. Duane Ludwig: UFC on FX, Jan 20, 2012

UFC on FX: Guillard vs. Miller · Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee, U.S.
Josh Neer5-6-0
FriJan 20Submission · R1Welterweight
Duane Ludwig4-2-0
44.3% (Elo 1494)(Elo 1534) 55.7%

Result

Josh Neer wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 1, 3:04

Pre-fight Elo gave Duane Ludwig 55.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Josh Neer 1494, Duane Ludwig 1534: a 40-point gap.
Form
Josh Neer won 2 of the last 5, Duane Ludwig won 3 of 5. Form favours Duane Ludwig.
Verdict
Duane Ludwig slightly favoured · Duane Ludwig 55.7% by Elo.
Josh Neer44.3%ELO55.7%Duane Ludwig
1494 · Pre-fight Elo · 1534

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Josh Neer · won 2 of last 5Duane Ludwig · won 3 of last 5
14501500155020032005200720092011Josh Neer 2005-08-06: 1483Josh Neer 2006-01-16: 1501Josh Neer 2006-04-06: 1517Josh Neer 2006-07-08: 1501Josh Neer 2006-08-26: 1485Josh Neer 2008-04-02: 1503Josh Neer 2008-09-17: 1490Josh Neer 2009-02-07: 1507Josh Neer 2009-08-08: 1492Josh Neer 2009-10-24: 1477Josh Neer 2011-10-01: 1494Josh Neer 2012-01-20: 15121512Duane Ludwig 2003-04-25: 1517Duane Ludwig 2006-01-16: 1533Duane Ludwig 2010-01-02: 1517Duane Ludwig 2010-03-21: 1501Duane Ludwig 2010-11-13: 1516Duane Ludwig 2011-08-14: 1534Duane Ludwig 2012-01-20: 15161516

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Josh Neer
Duane Ludwig

Tale of the tape

28Age33
180.3 cmHeight177.8 cm
182.9 cmReach180.3 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
5-6-0UFC record4-2-0
1517Peak Elo1534

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: FX

Prelims: Fuel TV

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on FX: Guillard vs. Miller

Full card »
Jim Miller vs. Melvin GuillardSubmissionMike Easton vs. Jared PapazianDecisionPat Barry vs. Christian MorecraftKO/TKOJorge Rivera vs. Eric SchaferKO/TKOKhabib Nurmagomedov vs. Kamal ShalorusSubmissionCharlie Brenneman vs. Daniel RobertsDecisionFabrício Camões vs. Tommy HaydenSubmissionDaniel Pineda vs. Pat SchillingSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC on FX: Guillard vs. Miller?

Fri, Jan 20, 2012 at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on FX: Guillard vs. Miller (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.