Nate Diaz vs. Jim Miller: UFC on Fox, May 5, 2012

UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller · Meadowlands Arena, East Rutherford, New Jersey, U.S.

Nate Diaz10-5-0

SatMay 5Submission · R2Lightweight

Jim Miller10-2-0

43.5% (Elo 1566)

(Elo 1612) 56.5%

Result

Nate Diaz wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 2, 4:09

Pre-fight Elo gave Jim Miller 56.5%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Nate Diaz 1566, Jim Miller 1612: a 46-point gap.
Common opponents: Melvin Guillard (Diaz: Win; Miller: Win). Gray Maynard (Diaz: Loss; Miller: Loss).
Form: Nate Diaz won 3 of the last 5, Jim Miller won 4 of 5. Form favours Jim Miller.
Verdict: Jim Miller slightly favoured · Jim Miller 56.5% by Elo.

Nate Diaz43.5%ELO56.5%Jim Miller

1566 · Pre-fight Elo · 1612

Common opponents

Opponent	Nate Diaz	Jim Miller
Melvin Guillard	WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Sep 16, 2009	WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Jan 20, 2012
Gray Maynard	LossDecision (split), Jan 11, 2010	LossDecision (unanimous), Mar 7, 2009

Recent form

Nate Diaz · won 3 of last 5Jim Miller · won 4 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Nate Diaz

Win
Donald CerroneDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Dec 30, 2011
Win
Takanori GomiSubmission (armbar) · R1 4:27
Sep 24, 2011
Loss
Rory MacDonaldDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Apr 30, 2011
Loss
Dong Hyun KimDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jan 1, 2011
Win
Marcus DavisSubmission (guillotine choke) · R3 4:02
Aug 28, 2010

Jim Miller

Win
Melvin GuillardSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:04
Jan 20, 2012
Loss
Benson HendersonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Aug 14, 2011
Win
Kamal ShalorusKO/TKO (knee and punches) · R3 2:15
Mar 19, 2011
Win
Charles OliveiraSubmission (kneebar) · R1 1:59
Dec 11, 2010
Win
Gleison TibauDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Sep 15, 2010

Tale of the tape

27Age28

182.9 cmHeight172.7 cm

193.0 cmReach180.3 cm

SouthpawStanceSouthpaw

10-5-0UFC record10-2-0

1589Peak Elo1629

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox

Prelims: Fuel TV

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller

Full card »

Johny Hendricks vs. Josh KoscheckDecision Alan Belcher vs. Rousimar PalharesKO/TKO Lavar Johnson vs. Pat BarryKO/TKO Michael Johnson vs. Tony FergusonDecision John Dodson vs. Tim ElliottDecision John Hathaway vs. Pascal KraussDecision Louis Gaudinot vs. John LinekerSubmission Danny Castillo vs. John CholishDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller?

Sat, May 5, 2012 at Meadowlands Arena, East Rutherford, New Jersey, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.