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Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Justin Gaethje: UFC 254, Oct 24, 2020

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Khabib Nurmagomedov (c)12-0-0
SatOct 24Submission · R2Title fight · 5 rounds
Justin Gaethje (ic)5-2-0
64.5% (Elo 1681)(Elo 1578) 35.5%

Result

Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by Submission (triangle choke)

round 2, 1:34

Pre-fight Elo gave Khabib Nurmagomedov 64.5%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Khabib Nurmagomedov 1681, Justin Gaethje 1578: a 103-point gap.
Common opponents
Dustin Poirier (Nurmagomedov: Win; Gaethje: Loss). Edson Barboza (Nurmagomedov: Win; Gaethje: Win). Michael Johnson (Nurmagomedov: Win; Gaethje: Win).
Form
Khabib Nurmagomedov won 5 of the last 5, Justin Gaethje won 4 of 5. Form favours Khabib Nurmagomedov.
Verdict
Khabib Nurmagomedov slightly favoured · Khabib Nurmagomedov 64.5% by Elo.
Khabib Nurmagomedov64.5%ELO35.5%Justin Gaethje
1681 · Pre-fight Elo · 1578

Common opponents

OpponentKhabib NurmagomedovJustin Gaethje
Dustin Poirier
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Sep 7, 2019
LossKO/TKO (punches), Apr 14, 2018
Edson Barboza
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 30, 2017
WinKO/TKO (punch), Mar 30, 2019
Michael Johnson
WinSubmission (kimura), Nov 12, 2016
WinKO/TKO (punches and knees), Jul 7, 2017

Recent form

Khabib Nurmagomedov · won 5 of last 5Justin Gaethje · won 4 of last 5
14501500155016001650170020122014201620182020Khabib Nurmagomedov 2012-01-20: 1515Khabib Nurmagomedov 2012-07-07: 1534Khabib Nurmagomedov 2013-01-19: 1551Khabib Nurmagomedov 2013-05-25: 1565Khabib Nurmagomedov 2013-09-21: 1577Khabib Nurmagomedov 2014-04-19: 1594Khabib Nurmagomedov 2016-04-16: 1606Khabib Nurmagomedov 2016-11-12: 1620Khabib Nurmagomedov 2017-12-30: 1636Khabib Nurmagomedov 2018-04-07: 1650Khabib Nurmagomedov 2018-10-06: 1665Khabib Nurmagomedov 2019-09-07: 1681Khabib Nurmagomedov 2020-10-24: 16931693Justin Gaethje 2017-07-07: 1518Justin Gaethje 2017-12-02: 1503Justin Gaethje 2018-04-14: 1493Justin Gaethje 2018-08-25: 1514Justin Gaethje 2019-03-30: 1534Justin Gaethje 2019-09-14: 1555Justin Gaethje 2020-05-09: 1578Justin Gaethje 2020-10-24: 15661566

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Khabib Nurmagomedov
Justin Gaethje

Tale of the tape

32Age31
177.8 cmHeight180.3 cm
177.8 cmReach177.8 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
12-0-0UFC record5-2-0
1693Peak Elo1641

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje

Full card »
Robert Whittaker vs. Jared CannonierDecisionAlexander Volkov vs. Walt HarrisKO/TKOPhil Hawes vs. Jacob MalkounKO/TKOLauren Murphy vs. Liliya ShakirovaSubmissionMagomed Ankalaev vs. Ion CuțelabaKO/TKOTai Tuivasa vs. Stefan StruveKO/TKOCasey Kenney vs. Nathaniel WoodDecisionShavkat Rakhmonov vs. Alex OliveiraSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje?

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 at du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 254 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.