UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
50.2% (Elo 1607)
(Elo 1606) 49.8%
Result
Justin Gaethje wins by Decision (unanimous)
round 5, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Justin Gaethje 50.2%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Justin Gaethje 1607, Paddy Pimblett 1606: a 1-point gap.
- Common opponents
- Michael Chandler (Gaethje: Win; Pimblett: Win). Tony Ferguson (Gaethje: Win; Pimblett: Win).
- Form
- Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Paddy Pimblett won 5 of 5. Form favours Paddy Pimblett.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Justin Gaethje 50.2% by Elo. Form favours Paddy Pimblett.
Justin Gaethje50.2%ELO49.8%Paddy Pimblett
1607 · Pre-fight Elo · 1606
Common opponents
| Opponent | Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Chandler | WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 6, 2021 | WinKO/TKO (elbows and punches), Apr 12, 2025 |
| Tony Ferguson | WinKO/TKO (punch), May 9, 2020 | WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 16, 2023 |
Recent form
Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Paddy Pimblett · won 5 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Justin Gaethje
- WinRafael FizievDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossMax HollowayKO/TKO (punch) · R5 4:59
- WinDustin PoirierKO/TKO (head kick) · R2 1:00
- WinRafael FizievDecision (majority) · R3 5:00
- LossCharles OliveiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:22
Paddy Pimblett
- WinMichael ChandlerKO/TKO (elbows and punches) · R3 3:07
- WinKing GreenSubmission (triangle choke) · R1 3:22
- WinTony FergusonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinJared GordonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinJordan LeavittSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 2:46
Tale of the tape
37Age31
180.3 cmHeight177.8 cm
177.8 cmReach185.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
9-5-0UFC record7-0-0
1641Peak Elo1607
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Early prelims: Paramount+ / UFC Fight Pass
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Full card »Sean O'Malley vs. Song YadongDecisionWaldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick LewisKO/TKONatália Silva vs. Rose NamajunasDecisionJean Silva vs. Arnold AllenDecisionUmar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson FigueiredoDecisionAteba Gautier vs. Andrey PulyaevDecisionNikita Krylov vs. Modestas BukauskasKO/TKOAlex Perez vs. Charles JohnsonKO/TKO
FAQ
When and where is UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett?
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 324 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.