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Justin Gaethje vs. Tony Ferguson: UFC 249, May 9, 2020

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, U.S.
Justin Gaethje4-2-0
SatMay 9KO/TKO · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
Tony Ferguson15-1-0
30.6% (Elo 1555)(Elo 1698) 69.4%

Result

Justin Gaethje wins by KO/TKO (punch)

round 5, 3:39

Pre-fight Elo gave Tony Ferguson 69.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Justin Gaethje 1555, Tony Ferguson 1698: a 143-point gap.
Common opponents
Donald Cerrone (Gaethje: Win; Ferguson: Win). Edson Barboza (Gaethje: Win; Ferguson: Win). Michael Johnson (Gaethje: Win; Ferguson: Loss).
Form
Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Tony Ferguson won 5 of 5. Form favours Tony Ferguson.
Verdict
Tony Ferguson clear favourite · Tony Ferguson 69.4% by Elo.
Justin Gaethje30.6%ELO69.4%Tony Ferguson
1555 · Pre-fight Elo · 1698

Common opponents

OpponentJustin GaethjeTony Ferguson
Donald Cerrone
WinKO/TKO (punches), Sep 14, 2019
WinKO/TKO (doctor stoppage), Jun 8, 2019
Edson Barboza
WinKO/TKO (punch), Mar 30, 2019
WinSubmission (D'Arce choke), Dec 11, 2015
Michael Johnson
WinKO/TKO (punches and knees), Jul 7, 2017
LossDecision (unanimous), May 5, 2012

Recent form

Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Tony Ferguson · won 5 of last 5
145015001550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020Justin Gaethje 2017-07-07: 1518Justin Gaethje 2017-12-02: 1503Justin Gaethje 2018-04-14: 1493Justin Gaethje 2018-08-25: 1514Justin Gaethje 2019-03-30: 1534Justin Gaethje 2019-09-14: 1555Justin Gaethje 2020-05-09: 15781578Tony Ferguson 2011-06-04: 1516Tony Ferguson 2011-09-24: 1531Tony Ferguson 2011-12-03: 1548Tony Ferguson 2012-05-05: 1530Tony Ferguson 2013-10-19: 1544Tony Ferguson 2014-05-24: 1559Tony Ferguson 2014-08-30: 1575Tony Ferguson 2014-12-06: 1589Tony Ferguson 2015-02-28: 1606Tony Ferguson 2015-07-15: 1617Tony Ferguson 2015-12-11: 1632Tony Ferguson 2016-07-13: 1642Tony Ferguson 2016-11-05: 1658Tony Ferguson 2017-10-07: 1672Tony Ferguson 2018-10-06: 1683Tony Ferguson 2019-06-08: 1698Tony Ferguson 2020-05-09: 16751675

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Justin Gaethje
Tony Ferguson

Tale of the tape

31Age36
180.3 cmHeight182.9 cm
177.8 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
4-2-0UFC record15-1-0
1641Peak Elo1698

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN

Early prelims: ESPN

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

Full card »
Henry Cejudo vs. Dominick CruzKO/TKOFrancis Ngannou vs. Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKOCalvin Kattar vs. Jeremy StephensKO/TKOGreg Hardy vs. Yorgan De CastroDecisionAnthony Pettis vs. Donald CerroneDecisionAleksei Oleinik vs. Fabrício WerdumDecisionCarla Esparza vs. Michelle Waterson-GomezDecisionVicente Luque vs. Niko PriceKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje?

Sat, May 9, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 249 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.