UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun · Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California, U.S.
62.2% (Elo 1612)
(Elo 1526) 37.8%
Result
Lyoto Machida wins by Decision (unanimous)
round 5, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Lyoto Machida 62.2%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Lyoto Machida 1612, Maurício Rua 1526: a 86-point gap.
- Form
- Lyoto Machida won 5 of the last 5, Maurício Rua won 2 of 3. Form favours Lyoto Machida.
- Verdict
- Lyoto Machida slightly favoured · Lyoto Machida 62.2% by Elo.
Lyoto Machida62.2%ELO37.8%Maurício Rua
1612 · Pre-fight Elo · 1526
Common opponents
The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.
Recent form
Lyoto Machida · won 5 of last 5Maurício Rua · won 2 of last 3
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Lyoto Machida
- WinRashad EvansKO/TKO (punches) · R2 3:57
- WinThiago SilvaKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:59
- WinTito OrtizDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinRameau Thierry SokoudjouSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R2 4:20
- WinKazuhiro NakamuraDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Maurício Rua
- WinChuck LiddellKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:28
- WinMark ColemanKO/TKO (punches) · R3 4:36
- LossForrest GriffinSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 4:45
Tale of the tape
31Age27
185.4 cmHeight185.4 cm
188.0 cmReach193.0 cm
SouthpawStanceno data yet
7-0-0UFC record2-1-0
1627Peak Elo1561
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Prelims: Spike TV
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun?
Sat, Oct 24, 2009 at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 104 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.