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Mairon Santos vs. Muhammad Naimov: UFC 323, Dec 6, 2025

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Mairon Santos3-0-0
SatDec 6KO/TKO · R3Catchweight
Muhammad Naimov5-1-0
48.3% (Elo 1548)(Elo 1559) 51.7%

Result

Mairon Santos wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 3, 0:21

Pre-fight Elo gave Muhammad Naimov 51.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Mairon Santos 1548, Muhammad Naimov 1559: a 11-point gap.
Common opponents
Kaan Ofli (Santos: Win; Naimov: Win).
Form
Mairon Santos won 3 of the last 3, Muhammad Naimov won 4 of 5. Form favours Mairon Santos.
Verdict
Close fight · Muhammad Naimov 51.7% by Elo. Form favours Mairon Santos.
Mairon Santos48.3%ELO51.7%Muhammad Naimov
1548 · Pre-fight Elo · 1559

Common opponents

OpponentMairon SantosMuhammad Naimov
Kaan Ofli
WinKO/TKO (punch), Aug 24, 2024
WinDecision (unanimous), Feb 1, 2025

Recent form

Mairon Santos · won 3 of last 3Muhammad Naimov · won 4 of last 5
150015501600202420252026Mairon Santos 2024-08-24: 1516Mairon Santos 2025-03-08: 1531Mairon Santos 2025-05-17: 1548Mairon Santos 2025-12-06: 15641564Muhammad Naimov 2023-06-03: 1517Muhammad Naimov 2023-10-21: 1536Muhammad Naimov 2024-02-24: 1549Muhammad Naimov 2024-06-22: 1531Muhammad Naimov 2025-02-01: 1545Muhammad Naimov 2025-06-21: 1559Muhammad Naimov 2025-12-06: 15431543

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Mairon Santos
Muhammad Naimov
  • Win
    Bogdan GradDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Kaan OfliDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Felipe LimaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 1:15
  • Win
    Erik SilvaKO/TKO (leg injury) · R1 0:44
  • Win
    Nathaniel WoodDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

no data yetAge31
no data yetHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
3-0-0UFC record5-1-0
1564Peak Elo1559

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Early prelims: ESPN+ / Disney+ / FX

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Full card »
Petr Yan vs. Merab DvalishviliDecisionJoshua Van vs. Alexandre PantojaKO/TKOTatsuro Taira vs. Brandon MorenoKO/TKOPayton Talbott vs. Henry CejudoDecisionJan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan GuskovDrawManuel Torres vs. Grant DawsonKO/TKOChris Duncan vs. Terrance McKinneySubmissionMaycee Barber vs. Karine SilvaDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2?

Sat, Dec 6, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 323 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.